We asked dozens of experts whether the global economy could fall into a recession before the end of 2023. Read their responses here:
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“Beijing’s breakthrough with Iran and Saudi Arabia is likely to serve as the foundation of a new geopolitical reality in the Middle East.”
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The Ukrainian military’s innovative and experimental thinking has preserved its momentum throughout the war—but Kyiv's allies should temper their expectations about what adaptation can achieve in the months to come, write Rita Konaev and Owen Daniels.
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Boosting consumption among China’s 1.4 billion citizens is a daunting challenge—but doing so would bolster the global economy in addition to Chinese growth, write Damien Ma and Houze Song.
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Tunisia, once the sole success story of the Arab Spring, is facing growing instability and the prospect of indefinite one-man rule—and if the country descends into dictatorship, the spillover effects could affect the entire region, writes Shadi Hamid.
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Melvyn Leffler discusses how a newly declassified memo—released in November 2022 by the U.S. National Archives—helps explain why the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq and why the invasion went so badly.
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“The Russian military can continue fighting poorly for a long time—in fact, it has a long history of doing just that.”
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Listen to the latest episode of “The Foreign Affairs Interview,” featuring a conversation with Max Boot 🇺🇦🇺🇸 on the flawed assumptions that shaped his thinking during the Iraq war—and the troubling lessons for American foreign policy today.
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Read larry norden and Derek Tisler on the communications strategies and legislative measures that can limit the spread of election falsehoods—and rebuild Americans’ confidence in the electoral process.
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If Washington wants to prove its commitment to defending democracy beyond U.S. borders, it can no longer shy away from challenging autocrats and authoritarian-leaning governments, writes Jon Temin.
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Although conflict with China is not certain or imminent, policymakers and business leaders worldwide cannot afford to ignore signs that Beijing could be planning for war, write John Pomfret 潘文 and Matt Pottinger.
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Even more than the relative strength of Russia’s and Ukraine’s militaries, the dramatic mismatch in the level of foreign military, intelligence, and economic support provided to each side has accounted for the length of the war, writes Cynthia Cook.
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As Tunisian President Kais Saied continues to consolidate his dictatorship, Washington and its partners must act immediately to prevent Tunisia from sliding into decades of authoritarian rule, urges Shadi Hamid.
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“There is no such thing as decision-making devoid of politics.”

Read Henry Farrell, Abraham Newman, and Jeremy Wallace on why artificial intelligence will not be a silver bullet for effective governance.
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“The Ukrainian military’s skill at integrating advanced weapons and new technologies has continually surprised not only its adversary, but also Ukraine’s own partners and allies in the West.”
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“Putin, his war machine, and his imperial mindset must be defeated, and Ukraine must be hardened against any future aggression. At the same time, however, the West must also try to secure a long-term peace with Moscow.”
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.larry norden and Derek Tisler explore how U.S. officials, public leaders, and civic organizations can help blunt the effects of disinformation ahead of the 2024 U.S. election.
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We asked dozens of experts about the likelihood of the global economy entering a recession before the end of 2023. Find out what they had to say:
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