🇺🇲 2024 GE: [Among Suburban Voters]

NYT/Siena
🟦 Biden 47% (+11)
🟥 Trump 36%
—
NPR/Marist
🟦 Biden 57% (+16)
🟥 Trump 41%
—
Cygnal
🟦 Biden 50% (+7)
🟥 Trump 43%

Fox News
🟦 Biden 48%
🟥 Trump 48%
——
Average
🟦 Biden 49% (+7)
🟥 Trump 42%

Field dates: March 22 - April 10

🇺🇲 SWING STATES GE: Fox News Poll

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 51% (+6)
🟦 Biden 45%
--
🟥 Trump 46% (+7)
🟦 Biden 39%
🟨 RFK Jr 7%
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 1%
---
Generic Ballot
🟥 GOP 50% (+8)
🟦 DEM 42%
——
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 49% (+3)
🟦 Biden 46%
--
🟥 Trump 42% (+2)
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Fox News Poll (+/- shift vs previous poll)

WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden 43% (+4)
🟥 Trump 41% (-1)
🟨 RFK Jr 9% (+2)
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 2%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 44% (+2)
🟦 Biden 42% (=)
🟨 RFK Jr 8% (+1)
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 1%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 42% (=)
🟦 Biden 40%…

🇺🇲 2024 Swing States GE: Fox News Poll

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 51% (+6)
🟦 Biden 45%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 49% (+3)
🟦 Biden 46%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Biden 48% (=)
🟥 Trump 48%
.
WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden 48% (=)
🟥 Trump 48%

538: #15 (2.8/3.0) | 4,606 RV | 4/11-16
google.com/amp/s/www.foxn…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Morning Consult

🟦 Biden 42% [-1]
🟥 Trump 42% [-2]
🟪 Other 10% [+2]

[+/- change vs April 5-7]
—
538: #116 (1.8/3.0) | 7,990 RV | 4/15-17
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…

📊 NATIONAL POLL: Cygnal Polling & Analytics

🟥 Trump 46.9% (+1.6)
🟦 Biden 45.3%

• Always vote: Trump+2
• Pres. year vote: Biden+5
• Occasional vote: Trump+26
• Suburban: Biden+7
• Swing voter: Biden +7
—
🟥 Trump 41.5% (+2.1)
🟦 Biden 39.4%
🟨 RFK Jr 8.6%
🟨 West 1.8%
🟩 Stein 1.1%
—

Do you approve or disapprove of the job (...) is doing/did as President?

Joe Biden: 44-54 (-10)
Donald Trump: 51-46 (+5)
—
Do you think things in this country...?

Were better off under Trump 47%
Are better off under Biden 39%
—
Yahoo/YouGov | D33/R27 | RVs | 4/11-18

🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: UMass Lowell

🟥 Donald Trump 42%
🟦 Joe Biden 42%
🟨 Kennedy Jr 12%
——
🟥 Donald Trump 43%
🟦 Taylor Swift 26%
🟨 Kennedy Jr 12%
🟪 Other 7%
—
🟦 Joe Biden 42
🟨 Kennedy Jr 24%
🟥 Kanye West 6%
🟪 Other 15%
—
YouGov | 1,688 LV | 4/3-8
uml.edu/docs/18April-T…

🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: Yahoo/YouGov

🟦 Biden 44% [=]
🟥 Trump 44% [-2]
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 45% [=]
🟥 GOP 42% [-1]

[+/- change vs March]
—
'If Trump is convicted of a serious crime'

🟦 Biden 45%
🟥 Trump 36%
—
538: #4 | D33/R27 | 1,171 RV | 4/11-18
scribd.com/document/72395…

📊 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary

• Casey DeSantis 38%
• Matt Gaetz 16%
---
• Another candidate 20%
• Undecided 26%

FAU/Mainstream Res. | N=372 | 4/15-17
faupolling.com/wp-content/upl…

📊 FLORIDA GE: FAU/Mainstreet Research

🟥 Trump 51%
🟦 Biden 43%
.
🟥 Trump 49%
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK Jr 6%
—
Senate
🟥 Rick Scott 53%
🟦 Mucarsel-Powell 36%
—
Gov. DeSantis
🟢 Approve 54%
🔴 Disapprove 40%
—
538: #85 (2.0/3.0) | 815 LV | 4/15-17
faupolling.com/mainstreet-res…

📊 NATIONAL POLL: Emerson

🟥 Trump 46% [=]
🟦 Biden 43% [-2]

With leans
🟥 Trump 51% [=]
🟦 Biden 48% [-1]

• April 2-3: 51-49 (Trump+2)
• March 5-6: 49-51 (Biden +2)
——
🟥 Trump 44% [+1]
🟦 Biden 40% [-2]
🟨 RFK Jr 8%
🟨 West 1%
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 45% [-1]
🟥 GOP…

.Polymarket - Presidential Election Odds

NEW HAMPSHIRE
🟦 Biden 92%
🟥 Trump 8%
.
MINNESOTA
🟦 Biden 86%
🟥 Trump 14%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Biden 59%
🟥 Trump 41%
.
NEVADA
🟦 Biden 59%
🟥 Trump 41%
.
MICHIGAN
🟦 Biden 57%
🟥 Trump 43%
.
WISCONSIN
🟦 Trump 53%
🟥 Biden 47%
.…

🇺🇲 2024 National GE: Civiqs

🟥 Trump 45% [+1]
🟦 Biden 44% [-1]
🟪 Other 9%
—
• Indies: Trump 46-35%
• White: Trump 58-32%
• Black: Biden 87-4%
• Hispanic: Biden 65-26%
• 18-29 y/o: Biden 50-36%
• 65+ y/o: Trump 50-44%

[+/- change vs March]
—
• #46 (2.5/3.0) |…

.FiveThirtyEight avg: Net Approval Ratings at this time (1,184 days) in office and on Election Day

• Biden: -17%
• H.W. Bush: -12.2%
• Trump: -8.5%
• Truman: -7.4%
• Carter: -7%
• G.W. Bush: +2.1%
• Obama: +1%
• Clinton: +14.8%
• Reagan: +17.3%
• Nixon: +20.4%
•…

📊 WISCONSIN GE: MULawPoll (LV)

🟥 Trump 48% [+2]
🟦 Biden 45% [+1]
⬜ Undecided 7% [-3]

With leans
🟥 Trump 51% [+1]
🟦 Biden 49% [=]
---
🟥 Trump 42% [+1]
🟦 Biden 41% [+2]
🟨 RFK Jr 12% [-1]
🟩 Stein 3% [-1]
🟨 West 1% [-1]

[+/- change vs January 24-31]
——
Senate
🟦…

📊 WISCONSIN GE: [Likely voters, with leans]

President
🟥 Trump 51% (+2)
🟦 Biden 49%
-
🟥 Trump 42% (+1)
🟦 Biden 41%
🟨 RFK Jr 12%
🟩 Stein 3%
🟨 West 1%
—
Senate
🟦 Baldwin 50% (=)
🟥 Hovde 50%
—
MULawPoll: #3 (3.0/3.0) | 736 LV | 4/3-10

📊 Wisconsin Senate GE: MULawPoll

🟦 Tammy Baldwin 44%
🟥 Eric Hovde 37%
⬜ Undecided 18%

With leans (reg. voters)
🟦 Tammy Baldwin 52%
🟥 Eric Hovde 47%
—
Likely voters
🟦 Tammy Baldwin 50%
🟥 Eric Hovde 50%
—
• 538: #3 (3.0/3.0) | 736 LV (±5%)
• 814 RV (±4.8%) | 4/3-10

📊 Michigan GE: MRG Michigan

🟥 Trump 42%
🟦 Biden 36%
🟪 Other 14%
.
🟥 Trump 37%
🟦 Biden 34%
🟨 RFK Jr 13%
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 1%
—
Job approval
Gov. Whitmer: 53-38 (+15)
Pres. Biden: 36-57 (-21)
—
538: #124 (1.8/3.0) | 600 LV | 4/8-11
mrgmi.com/president-bide…