I'm watching Kari Lake's event with Glenn Youngkin and it stands out how she keeps hitting the Dem Hobbs from the left, citing the Latino interview comments and racial discrimination lawsuits against Hobbs. 'We're not going to elect a racist...like Katie Hobbs.'

We know from the paid media in the Kansas referendum what messages tested well. This is… not that.

“Abortion is an economic issue” is a prime example of an argument designed to please the people who were already going to vote for you, not an argument to persuade and win.

The GOP firm J. Wallin Opinion Research, polling on behalf of the Southern California News Group, gives billionaire developer Rick Caruso a surprising 40-37 edge over Rep. Karen Bass for mayor of L.A. dailykos.com/stories/2022/1…

Fetterman campaign up with a fundraising ad on MSNBC in the closing weeks of the #PASEN race (via Punchbowl News):
mycmag.kantarmediana.com/KMIcmagvidbin2…

'A top priority for Mr. Sanders this year has been electing Mandela Barnes, the Democratic Senate nominee in Wisconsin. Mr. Sanders has allowed the Barnes campaign to use his name to send out fund-raising emails'
nytimes.com/2022/10/19/us/…

Kanye crosstabs

Over/Under on when they start asking (and getting real response) about Kari Lake?

(To be clear, I say this with loathing, fear, and dread.)

Still don’t understand why at least one of the other Dems didn’t run thru the tape in this primary. Was it really better to have stuff like this out in the general rather than the primary?

'...a departure from normal protocol when media is invited to view interviews or debates at Arizona PBS.'

'Hobbs' spokeswoman said Hobbs had to get to her next event and couldn't take questions. Asked what that event was, [she] did not respond.'

azcentral.com/story/news/pol…

Wow

NEWS: A federal judge has ordered several more of John EASTMAN's emails disclosed to the Jan. 6 select committee, saying they're subject to disclosure under the crime-fraud exception to attorney-client privilege.

Details TK

EARLY VOTING, THEN AND NOW (2020 v 2022)

The TURNOUT is not really the relevant number. The Dem/Rep SPREAD is. I'll leave it at that, and post the comparison :)

I wonder if, in a race against Trump, DeSantis has a similar problem to Elizabeth Warren, which is that he's popular among professional conservatives, white collar Republicans, and college degree holders but that he has trouble connecting with other groups nationalreview.com/corner/can-des…

As Josh Kraushaar pointed out earlier, the NYT Siena poll shows DeSantis slightly ahead of Trump among college degree holders, but getting clobbered among non-college voters. Similar pattern for rural/suburban divide nationalreview.com/corner/can-des…

Many of the Dems elected in the 2018 wave are now fighting for their lives. What happened to the coalition that elected them? I talked to Dan Sena, who oversaw the 2018 races. He explained what's happening now in a really interesting way:

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…