🚨 Poll points to Labour majority of 364 seats

🟥 LAB: 507 (+307)
🟦 CON: 55 (-317)
🟧 LD: 43 (+35)
🟨 SNP: 21 (-27)
⬜️ OTH: 24 (+2)

Based on YouGov poll, 16-17 Apr (+/- vs 2019)

🖊️ NEW ARTICLE: Who will win the Mayoral elections?

On May 2nd, a record-breaking 10 Metro Mayors will be up for election. Who's going to win? And will the new voting system save the Conservatives from total defeat?

Find out here 👇

statsforlefties.com/2024/04/18/may…

🚨 Rishi Sunak's net satisfaction rating drops to a record-breaking low of -59, worse than Truss (-51).

✅ Satisfied 16% (-3)
❌ Dissatisfied 75% (+2)

Via Ipsos UK, 3-15 April (+/- vs February)

🚨 NEW: Starmer's satisfaction rating falls to -31.

This is his lowest EVER net approval rating with Ipsos.

✅ Satisfied 25% (-4)
❌ Dissatisfied 56% (+1)

Via Ipsos UK, 3-15 April (+/- vs February)

🚨 NEW: Labour lead by 25%, majority of 402

🟥 LAB 44% (-3)
🟦 CON 19% (-1)
🟪 REF 13% (+5)
🟧 LD 9% (=)
🟩 GRN 9% (+1)

Via Ipsos UK, 3-15 April (+/- vs 21-28 February)

🗳️ Projection for East Midlands Mayor:

🟥 LAB 42%
🟦 CON 32%
🟪 REF 10%
🟧 LD 8%
🟩 GRN 7%

Labour GAIN (new position)

🚨 NEW: Angela Rayner's net favourability drops to -19

✅ Favourable 24% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable 43% (+10)

Lowest net rating for Rayner on record.

Via YouGov, 12-14 April (+/- vs October 2023)

🗳️ Projected result of West Yorkshire Mayor election:

🟥 LAB 52% (+9)
🟦 CON 16% (-13)
🟩 GRN 11% (+2)
🟧 LD 7% (+2)
⬜️ OTH 14% (=)

Labour HOLD (11% swing)

🗳️ Projected result for West Midlands Police Commissioner:

🟥 LAB: 68% (+23)
🟦 CON 32% (-7)

Labour HOLD (15% swing to Labour)

🗳️ Projected result for Surrey Police Commissioner:

🟧 LD 41% (+20)
🟥 LAB 29% (+13)
🟦 CON 29% (-5)
⬜️ OTH 1% (-28)

Lib Dem GAIN from Conservative (9% swing)

🚨 NEW: Poll suggests crushing defeat for the Tory Mayor in the West Midlands.

🟥 LAB 42% (+2)
🟦 CON 28% (-21)
🟪 REF 13% (+11)
🟩 GRN 7% (+1)
🟧 LD 7% (+3)

Via Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 10-14 April (+/- vs 2021)