⁦Phillips P. OBrien⁩ is one of the most imaginative thinkers in all things nuclear. With one of the most intricate issues related to deterrence in and for Europe, that is C&C, resolved, he offers fresh thinking on the funding issue too. open.substack.com/pub/phillipspo…

Xi Jinping heads to Europe on a mission to Drive a Wedge between the US and Europe. 'Xi’s trip comes as the EU is steadily forging a more unified voice with Washington in opposing China’s capacity for cheap exports and perceived national security risks.'…

Very French indeed; though, while the debate has been much declined in and by Berlin since 2016/2020, its strategic urgency has increased drastically. Fresh thinking is now key. politico.eu/article/emmanu…

40 years later, we’ve yet to internalize this message

The US will, regardless of who'll become the nxt POTUS, look at Nato's article 5 through the lens of how embedded US allies are in the Chinese market.
And, make no mistake, should Xi take Taipeh, he will expropriate Mercedes, Siemens et al.

A paradox in the making? Until now, the German chancellor could hide behind Biden to prove he was both de-escalatory & a good US ally. Now, he may be able to explain that by continuing to refuse to transfer long-range missiles, he's not a US poodle.

I have to go back to the old statements of all those escalation theorists who have been explaining to us for the last two years that the Biden administration is doing a very smart thing by refusing to deliver ATACMS to Ukraine - now we know that they have no clue about winning…

Best anti-self-deterrence speech given by a Western European head of state thus far. Great leadership. gov.uk/government/spe…

There it is 🫳🔥
Long-range #ATACMS will be heading to #Ukraine as part of the new US aid package.
cnn.com/2024/04/23/pol…

Oh dear, one of the finest universities held captive by sluggish leaders.

At long last, UKR has been handed a generous life-line by the US, worth $61bn.
Anyone in Europe sighing relief is dead wrong, though.
Europeans must now press the full-steam ahead button and act to defeat Russia.
Winning this war, not just the upcoming battles, is crucial now.