#Brazil : Jair M. Bolsonaro 2️⃣2️⃣ just spoke. Says he'll obey the constitution and begin the transition to Lula 13. Very abbreviated remarks. No discussion of the results. Let's hope this is it.

Folha reports Lula might create as many as 10 new ministries, bringing total to 34. Reach of Brazilian state will grow again, for better and worse

Today Gustavo Petro meets with Nicolás Maduro. Lula 13 is likely to recognize #Maduro in early January. The left governs the 7 most populous states in #LatinAmerica . Regional solidarity with #Venezuela 's democracy wanes further. Worth rereading this. csis.org/analysis/madur…

#Venezuela : Reunión de Gustavo Petro y Nicolás Maduro. Cuáles son las implicaciones políticas?
elnacional.com/venezuela/reun…

When your friends are #dictators …

#Brazil : No sign of Jair M. Bolsonaro 2️⃣2️⃣. It's likely he's deciding on his next steps. There could be inter-family differences on how to proceed. My take has always been that there won't be 'a Brazilian January 6th.' Statements from political leaders and conservatives have boxed B in.

Lots of talk about democratic backsliding in #Brazil . Comparatively less about #Mexico . Andres Oppenheimer's latest on #AMLO is worth reading. 'Dismantling the INE would take Mexico back to the old days when an almighty ruling party could rig elections at will.'miamiherald.com/news/local/new…

That column can’t be written in an intellectually honest way. 2002-2010 didn’t feature any “special sauce” in #Brazil . Just #China growing at 10+ percent for over a decade and buying everything in sight. This time, there’s no China to make reality the nostalgia Lula 13 sold.

16 victorias seguidas de la OPOSICIÓN en elecc. presi. en AmLat

1-🇨🇴(2018)
2-🇲🇽 (2018)
3-🇧🇷 (2018)
4-🇸🇻 (2019)
5-🇩🇴 (2019)
6-🇬🇹 (2019)
7-🇦🇷 (2019)
8-🇺🇾 (2019)
9-🇧🇴 (2020)
10-🇪🇨 (2021)
11-🇵🇪 (2021)
12-🇨🇱 (2021)
13-🇭🇳 (2021)
14-🇨🇷 (2022)
15-🇨🇴 (2022)
16-🇧🇷 (2022)

Vía Javi C

.CSIS Americas senior associate Lauri Tähtinen nailed it in his prediction for today’s #Brazil election.

#Brazil : the Joe Biden admin’s “wait for Lula 13” strategy with respect to US-Brazil relations is complete. Let’s see what the admin does now. As I wrote with Amb McKinley in Americas Quarterly, geopolitics has made Brazil more important than ever.americasquarterly.org/article/a-stra…

#Brazil : polls closed. All 👀 on electoral returns. Jair M. Bolsonaro 2️⃣2️⃣ Lula 13

“Yet #China , formerly a principal source of #Brazil ’s spending during the commodity boom of the early 2000s, may no longer be able to play that role.” Good piece by ⁦Isabel Bernhard⁩⁩. Irrespective of who wins China isn’t coming to the rescue in Brazil theglobalamericans.org/2022/10/how-us…

Un analista ha dicho que Maduro estaba dando concesiones democráticas. Yo creo que, por lo visto, solo dará concesiones petroleras.