Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile
Chad Kusserow

@vettechtrader

25+ year career tech investor/hedge fund manager. Fundamental alpha generation and absolute returns, driven by my self-developed R/R system and a touch of TA.

ID: 890031644

calendar_today19-10-2012 00:48:23

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Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$AVGO last quarter got chased ridiculously on the stock split- now it's largely going down on "high expectations" and largely reverse mult compression as the chasers likely now dumping- think worth chipping away in the 130s

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$MRVL has worked off just a little fluff now- my only point last week when pushed almost 80 on the post earnings squeeze- now 67/change and r/r skew improving again

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Not sure paying 21-22x NTM earnings for $AVGO is that terrible with AI mo intact, VMware ramping and cyclical semis troughing with bookings up 20%

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Everyone came out of the woodwork to tell you to buy $NVDA 125-130 a whole week ago (after a huge move, of course), when was setup to fail, much fluff now out and r/r improving by the day- don't think much has changed - at Goldman next week

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If you pay attention to stock moves relative to revisions vs. all of the other fluff- stock split exuberance, general giddiness mult expansion, etc, saves a lot of headaches and puts you in a much better position to make better informed risk/reward decisions

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

TFW when they love 'em after a straight up 40% move in 3 weeks but hate 'em 20% off the highs and 5-10% from the original launching pad (w/+ est revisions)- this is our market... (evergreen thought of course recent times)

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Back to useless Fedhead drivel- not saying anything new- only thing that matters is whether they will "keep up" with where the market is already priced, but you can just watch the data daily like they can...

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Would never chase $PATH & we all know will continue to have comp chatter, etc but pushing a low/mid teens out yr EV/FCF mult makes me wonder if becomes strategic at some point as a bolt-on- just thinking out loud... valuation vs. solid metrics like RPO, mid/large cust DBNR focus

郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo) (@mingchikuo) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My latest supply chain survey indicates that Apple's in-house 5G chip shipments will grow rapidly and replace Qualcomm's 5G chips. It's estimated that Apple's in-house 5G chip shipments will reach 35-40 million units in 2025, 90-110 million in 2026, and 160-180 million in 2027.

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Everyone's gonna catch the exact low for $NVDA at 90 I guess- just like I'm sure same people called for and exactly top ticked it at 131 recently- appreciate the goal but rarely that "easy" - guess we'll see- 102 a lot closer to 90 than 131, that's for sure...

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Sentiment check CNBC "I'm getting calls from clients that are worried right now"; 2 weeks ago- of course $NVDA is a buy at 130, Joey T thought not great results, stock might not react negatively- sentiment in this market is a fleeting mistress, constantly...

Chad Kusserow (@vettechtrader) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$SNOW at Citi-CFO basically (playfully) threw Frank under the bus saying Sridar works twice as hard-ironic as everyone seems to think the opposite- really needed the focus on product- Mike said focused on reaccel in revs - said "will be a few Qs" before see Sridar's impact