but... the PNV said we were heading for a hung parliament?!?!

Labour leads by 23%.

Westminster VI (5 May):

Labour 44% (-1)
Conservative 21% (-1)
Reform UK 15% (+1)
Liberal Democrat 9% (–)
Green 5% (-1)
Scottish National Party 3% (–)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes +/- 28 April

redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voti…

Final PCC Tally:

CON: 19 (-10)
LAB: 17 (+10)
PLC: 1 (=)

+ 5 LAB Mayors with PCC Powers

Sussex PCC Result:

🌳 CON: 39.0% (-8.3)
🌹 LAB: 31.7% (+13.0)
🔶 LDM: 15.6% (+1.7)
🌍 GRN: 13.7% (+0.3)

No IND (-6.7) as previous.

Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.

electionmaps.uk/le2024

Kent PCC Result:

🌳 CON: 44.2% (-13.6)
🌹 LAB: 33.7% (+8.4)
🔶 LDM: 22.1% (+5.2)

Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.

electionmaps.uk/le2024

just left the house for the first time in 3 days 😎

All 107 maps from the 2024 Local Elections are now available on the website: electionmaps.uk/le2024

Aggregate Result in the 197 Wards where all 5 Major Parties Stood:

🌹 LAB: 35.7%
🌳 CON: 22.9%
🔶 LDM: 13.8%
🌍 GRN: 10.8%
➡️ RFM: 9.6%

Looks like the Reform polling numbers are real, even if they can't convert it into seats.

All 107 maps from the 2024 Local Elections are now available on the website: electionmaps.uk/le2024

Salford Council Result #LE2024 :

LAB: 18 (+1)
CON: 2 (-1)
LDM: 1 (=)

Council Now: LAB 50, CON 7, LDM 2, IND 1.
Labour HOLD.

- and that's a wrap!

Tomorrow there's one Salford sized gap to fill + the Kent and Sussex PCC results - and then we're finished!

My Seat Model:

LAB: 33 (+32)
SNP: 13 (-35)
CON: 6 (=)
LDM: 5 (+3)

Changes w/ GE2019 Notionals.

Scottish Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 34% (+2)
SNP: 29% (-3)
CON: 16% (=)
LDM: 8% (-1)

Via Norstat Group, 30 Apr - 3 May.
Changes w/ 9-12 Apr.