Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have nearly equal chances of winning the election in November, our forecast model finds. Explore the numbers here: econ.st/4e76W86 👇

“Kamala Harris needs proposals that don’t just sound like standard Democratic talking points, in order to rebut the charge that her vibes are phoney,” writes Steven Teles. Over the next nine weeks she needs to back up her campaign with policies, he argues econ.st/3XrVIFH

Despite all the safety features available in cars today, crashes are still often determined by the laws of physics. When two vehicles collide, it is usually the heavier one that prevails econ.st/3AIXxFa Illustration: The Economist

During a “good” rate-cutting cycle inflation comes under control, economic growth remains decent and the initial rise in prices tends to last longer. “Bad” cutting cycles provide a fleeting boost to most commodity markets. What will happen this time? econ.st/3ZdekKL 👇

A campaign built around three policy areas will reinforce Kamala Harris’s vibes, and put Donald Trump and J.D. Vance on the back foot, a political scientist argues in a guest essay econ.st/3MrgNtD

♦️ Another legal setback for Donald Trump. ♦️ Kamala Harris’s fundraising operation says it will pay almost $25m to help down-ballot Democrats. ♦️ Pro-Palestinian protesters return to Columbia University. Follow the latest in American politics econ.st/4dSgF2q

Today on “The Intelligence”: a special episode hosted from Ukraine, examining the military battle as well as the wider war to recover and celebrate Ukraine’s culture econ.st/4dN5Pe0

Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by a small margin in the national popular vote, according to our poll tracker. Explore the data here: econ.st/47a2W4t 👇

Our forecast reckons that Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have nearly equal chances of winning the election in November. Explore the numbers here: econ.st/4ebvrB2 👇

Donald Trump’s campaign adverts about Kamala Harris concentrate on immigration and crime. Yet the relentless negativity is making Trump fans nervous econ.st/3ThutLg 👇

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have nearly equal chances of winning America’s election in November, according to our forecast. Discover more with our prediction model, updated daily econ.st/3ZaPmLW 👇

Ensuring a healthy beetle presence on all ranches in Florida would increase statewide revenues by more than $1m a year, according to a new paper econ.st/3XuVxcL 👇

Ever since Kamala Harris “seized the Democratic nomination from the shaky hands of President Joe Biden”, talk of her candidacy has focused on one word, writes Steven Teles. “But vibes can take you only so far” econ.st/3z3vccb

Donald Trump initially appeared off when grappling with Kamala Harris—but as the campaign reaches its final phase, his advisers and allies have established a clear strategy econ.st/3XuUadP 👇

In about two months Americans will go to the polls to elect their next president. Follow along as we track the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump econ.st/4e83Y34 👇

Will the Fed factor deliver the boost to prices that investors hope for and incumbent politicians—not least Kamala Harris—dread? econ.st/3TdytwD 👇

China’s giant economy faces an equally giant crisis of confidence—and a growing deficit of accurate information is only making things worse econ.st/3Zd8fOt

Kamala Harris has put the Democrats back in the running in America’s election. To see how her chances of winning look against Donald Trump’s, explore our presidential prediction model: econ.st/3Xu2ZVp 👇

America’s central bank is expected to make a first cut to interest rates on September 18th. How will this affect commodities? History provides a guide econ.st/3Z5L4Wp 👇