Looking forward to the Macro Labor Workshop at Berkeley today and the great line-up of speakers:

eml.berkeley.edu/~schoefer/scho…

eml.berkeley.edu/~schoefer/MLC/

Hopefully the first version of a more regular event going forward!

Berkeley Economics IRLE UC Berkeley SocialScienceMatrix

Here are my slides:

benjaminmoll.com/EJ_Lecture/

Thanks so much for listening and for the great discussion and comments!

New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP18964
How Cyclical Is the User Cost of Labor?
Marianna Kudlyak Marianna Kudlyak San Francisco Fed Hoover Institution
ow.ly/J8q750R93KO
#CEPR_LE , #CEPR_MEF , #CEPR_MG #economics

Had a great time presenting our paper “The Emergence of a Uniform Business Cycle in the United States: Evidence from New Claims-Based Unemployment Data” (joint w David Munro, Christoffer Koch & Sean Howard) at #BPEA Spring 2024 today

Happening now: Attendees examine 'The Emergence of a Uniform Business Cycle in the United States: Evidence from New Claims-Based Unemployment Data,' led by discussants Marianna Kudlyak and Steven Davis of Chicago Booth.

brookings.edu/events/bpea-sp…

📍DC

brookings.edu/events/bpea-sp…

Thought-provoking NBER WP by Hall & Marianna Kudlyak

How to reconcile labor market recoveries with small moves in inflation?
👉Suggest this is not b/c of a flat Phillips curve, but b/c inflation pressure -- the gap b/w actual U-rate and NAIRU -- in recoveries is close to 0

The next SED meeting will take place in Barcelona, Spain, on June 27-29.

Submissions are open: editorialexpress.com/conference/SED…

Deadline: Feb 15!!

afogli001 Elena Manresa Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria Review of Economic Dynamics

The gap between the actual and the natural unemployment rates —inflation pressure — stays close to zero during recoveries, with actual unemployment tracking natural unemployment, from Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak nber.org/papers/w31848

📍Annual Research Conference, ECB, Frankfurt am Main

Watch live

At 16.40 CET keynote by Roger Myerson Roger Myerson “Postwar reconstruction assistance and local governments in Ukraine”

An excellent program of the frontier in macroeconomics

#EconTwitter

The 3rd Australasian Search and Matching Workshop will be held at the University of Hawaii in January 2024. It is organised jointly with our friends from Asia-Pacific Search and Matching Group.

Submit your best search papers!

Keynotes: Guido Menzio and Guillaume Rocheteau

🚨Call for Papers - Just 2 days left! 🚨
I-85 Macro is coming to Richmond Oct. 26-27. Submissions are due Friday, Sep. 1. Please share with colleagues and graduate students! Looking at you UVA Economics Duke Economics UNC Economics USC Economics Clemson Economics Emory Economics Richmond Fed Research

Labor force participation remains ~1pp below its pre-pandemic level. We estimate that ~0.70pp is the decline in the #LFP trend:

- population composition shifting towards older groups (population aging effect)

- some groups retiring earlier than before (early-retirement effect)

Women who begin family caregiving experience significant losses in earnings and employment. Men, on the other hand, tend to enter into caregiving after a job loss or earnings shock, from Nicole Maestas, Matt Messel, and Yulya Truskinovsky nber.org/papers/w31450

Congratulations!

Bob Lucas speaking in 2011 on the publication process in economics:

📌NBER SI Real Estate, Boston, MA
Today at 15.00ET John Mondragon will present our joint work 'Dynastic Home Equity', w Matteo Benetton
Livestream: nber.org/conferences/si…
Slides: conference.nber.org/conf_papers/f1…

R1's suggestion is infuriating. Thank you for shining light on this Marius Brülhart! And thank you for using language that calls things what they are!

'Special Military Operation' is a Russian propaganda term. Not only not neutral, but as biased as it gets.

❗️The Russians destroyed 100 tons of peas and 20 tons of barley, Oleh Kiper, head of the #Odesa Regional Military Administration, said.

Two civilians were injured as a result of the shelling.