NEW - Florida Amendment 4, now opposed by Trump, DeSantis, Florida GOP and many more, is at 54.6% public support, with nearly 20% still unsure. Needs 60% of the vote. NOTE - Voters will be told that it may fund abortions with taxpayers directly on the ballot along with other

🚨 JUST IN - Kamala Harris dips in another national poll, an ongoing trend... 🔵 Harris: 50% (+2) [-1 from last poll] 🔴 Trump: 48% [= from last poll] RMG / Sept. 3-5 / N=2,701LV

NEW - Florida has begun sending out mail-in ballots. Several have been mailed as of today for the GENERAL election. I will be providing live updates for FL turnout data by party and county. The live webpage will be up when results start coming in.

They revised the jobs reports down 108,000 JOBS!?

Cruz+8, Trump+5 in new TEXAS poll

What do I think? Emerson is going to be wrong. They are underestimating the might of the Florida GOP’s turnout machine. You’ll likely see by next month when the data starts piling in.

FWIW, Emerson's partisan split of R+6 is not only an underestimate of the current base party registration, but assumes a worse GOP turnout than 2020. 2020 was R+8, 2024 could be closer to R+10 or even higher.

DAVID AXELROD: "[Trump] will become the first and ONLY person to participate in SEVEN televised general election debates. In the parlance of his favorite favorite sport, he knows the lay of the greens."

🚨 BREAKING - ECONOMIST bumps up Trump odds again in 2024 election model By their STATE ratings...ELECTORAL COLLEGE: 🔴 Trump: 281 🏆 🔵 Harris: 257 FORECASTED MARGINS: 🔴 PENNSYLVANIA: Trump+0.3 🔴 GEORGIA: Trump+1 🔴 ARIZONA: Trump+2 🔴 NORTH CAROLINA: Trump+2 🔵 NEVADA:

🚨 Trump DWARFS 2020, outpaces 2016 margins in the Midwest, home to Wisconsin & Michigan, latest poll finds.... 2024: 🔴 Trump: 50% (+6) 🔵 Harris: 44% 2020: 🔴 Trump: 50.1% (+2.1) 🔵 Biden: 48% 2016: 🔴 Trump: 49.2% (+4.3) 🔵 Clinton: 44.9% That's a nearly 4-point bump from

BREAKING - NATE SILVER: "Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states."

Baris literally nailed the Midwest in 2020. You truly are on something. Receipts below.

*PA is NOT Midwest. They still were within 2PTS there.