Open-source forecasting of armed conflict: Our article introducing ViEWS journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11… is now available with full #openaccess in the latest issue of J of Peace Research. Our forecasts for March 2019 through March 2022 can be found at pcr.uu.se/research/views….

Interested in the origins of rebel groups around the world? @kgcunnin and I have some data for you! Version 1 of the Foundations of Rebel Group Emergence (FORGE) Dataset is now available here: jessicamaves.com/forge.html

Answers to: School shooting: Arm the teachers Church shooting: Arm the pastors Nightclub shooting: Arm the bouncers Mosque shooting: Arm the... wait, no

Now available as #OpenAccess: Journal of Politics @[email protected] article with Håvard Nygård and Lisa Hultman indicating the conflict-reducing effect of UN PKOs are stronger than indicated by earlier studies, reducing major conflict 2001-2013 by 50%: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdfplus/10… (January 2019)

This article is great. Hopefully it will have an impact. nature.com/articles/d4158…

ViEWS is looking for a #postdoc to work with us at @UU_peace! See uu.se/en/about-uu/jo… for details on the position, and pcr.uu.se/research/views… for more on ViEWS. I am at ISA in Toronto if anyone would like to hear more, just email me.

ViEWS just released forecasts for April 2019-March 2022. One area of concern is Cabo Delgado, North Mozambique, due to recent violence: africatimes.com/2019/02/25/moz…. More details on forecasts at pcr.uu.se/research/views… and on methods at journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11….

Come and join us in Uppsala! 3 open PhD positions in Peace and Conflict Research, 2 of the positions focusing on international interventions and violence against civilians working with Lisa Hultman. Please apply by 11 June or spread in your networks!

ViEWS has released forecasts for May 2019-April 2022. Risk of non-state conflict is rising in central Mali, where ethnic violence has been escalating in recent weeks: af.reuters.com/article/topNew…. More details at pcr.uu.se/research/views… and at journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00….

Fantastic work that will push the research frontier on democratization and its consequences kilometers forward! Congratulations to Carl Henrik Knutsen, J of Peace Research, and V-Dem Institute!

Sophia Hatz successfully defended her excellent dissertation 'Coercion and its Effects: Evidence from the Israel-Palestine Conflict' today at UppsalaPeaceConflict. Congratulations!

V-Dem Democracy Report 2019 “Democracy Facing Global Challenges” is published! ✊ Democratic declines now affect more countries than ever before. Download the report here: bit.ly/2EgPL5t

Article on democratic peace with Perspectives on Politics editor Michael Bernhard and Jan Teorell using V-Dem Institute data published as journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…! Civil society accountability at least as important as checks and balances, electoral peace requires a strong civil society.

In addition to the usual careful update and analysis of recent conflict trends, the article presents a thorough update of the UCDP peace agreements dataset. Thanks for the excellent work, UCDP!

New article in Journal of Politics @[email protected] by Sophia Hatz UppsalaPeaceConflict carefully documenting how repression backfires: As the number of administrative demolition orders issued increases, Palestinians are more likely to oppose peace and support violence against Israelis. doi.org/10.1086/703211

ViEWS has released forecasts for July 2019-June 2022. Risk of one-sided violence rose in Ghana, where a teenager was shot and killed amid demonstrations in May: allafrica.com/stories/201905… More details at pcr.uu.se/research/views… and at journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

New ViEWS forecasts for September 2019-August 2022 released. More one-sided violence in Libya likely to follow an airstrike on a migration detention center in Tajoura killing over 50 people: nytimes.com/2019/07/17/rea…. See pcr.uu.se/research/views… and journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

See article in MIT Technology Review technologyreview.com/s/614568/predi… on ViEWS pcr.uu.se/research/views/ (doi.org/10.1177/002234…)!

technologyreview.com/s/614568/predi… Also see views.pcr.uu.se and journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11…

Come and work with us at UppsalaPeaceConflict! Note this condition: "Applicants who have completed a PhD, or achieved equivalent expertise, no more than five years before the application deadline, will be given primary consideration." See also the exemptions. uu.se/en/about-uu/jo…