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InteractivePolls

@iapolls2022

πŸ—³οΈ Polling and Prediction Markets Aggregator
πŸ“Š Live, unbiased 2024 election forecasts: polymarket.com/elections

ID: 1427476600744988672

calendar_today17-08-2021 03:47:58

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: Rasmussen Reports πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% [-1] 🟦 Harris: 46% [=] πŸŸͺ Other: 3% [+/- change vs 8/28] β€”β€” Trends: July 24: Trump +7 Aug. 13: Trump +4 Aug. 21: Trump +3 Aug. 28: Trump +2 Sept. 4: Trump +1 β€”β€” 1,838 LV | 8/29 & 9/1-4 | D35/R33 rasmussenreports.com/public_content…

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: <a href="/Rasmussen_Poll/">Rasmussen Reports</a>

πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% [-1]
🟦 Harris: 46% [=]
πŸŸͺ Other: 3%

[+/- change vs 8/28]
β€”β€”
Trends:
July 24: Trump +7
Aug. 13: Trump +4
Aug. 21: Trump +3
Aug. 28: Trump +2
Sept. 4: Trump +1
β€”β€”
1,838 LV | 8/29 &amp; 9/1-4 | D35/R33 
rasmussenreports.com/public_content…
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πŸ“Š Alaska's At-large congressional district (GOP Internal by Cygnal Polling & Analytics ) πŸ”΅ Peltola (inc): 46% πŸ”΄ Begich: 45% β€”β€” President πŸ”΄ Trump: 53% πŸ”΅ Harris: 43% #67 (2.1/3.0) | 8/29-9/1 | 400 LV | Β±4.38% nationaljournal.com/s/726084/as-we…

πŸ“Š Alaska's At-large congressional district (GOP Internal by <a href="/cygnal/">Cygnal Polling & Analytics</a> )

πŸ”΅ Peltola (inc): 46%
πŸ”΄ Begich: 45%
β€”β€”
President 
πŸ”΄ Trump: 53%
πŸ”΅ Harris: 43%

#67 (2.1/3.0) | 8/29-9/1 | 400 LV | Β±4.38%
nationaljournal.com/s/726084/as-we…
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πŸ“Š MONTANA poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) & Binder Research (D) for AARP Senate πŸŸ₯ Sheehy: 51% (+6) 🟦 Tester: 45% Full Ballot πŸŸ₯ Sheehy: 49% (+8) 🟦 Tester: 41% πŸŸͺ Daoud: 4% 🟩 Downey: 1 β€”β€” President πŸŸ₯ Trump 56% (+15) 🟦 Harris 41% β€” #138 (1.7/3.0) | 8/25-29 | 600 LV

πŸ“Š MONTANA poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) &amp; Binder Research (D) for AARP

Senate
πŸŸ₯ Sheehy: 51% (+6)
🟦 Tester: 45%

Full Ballot 
πŸŸ₯ Sheehy: 49% (+8)
🟦 Tester: 41%
πŸŸͺ Daoud: 4%
🟩 Downey: 1
β€”β€”
President
πŸŸ₯ Trump 56% (+15)
🟦 Harris 41%
β€”
#138 (1.7/3.0) | 8/25-29 | 600 LV
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² National poll by Emerson 🟦 Harris: 49% [-1] πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% [+1] With leans 🟦 Harris: 51% [-1] πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48% [=] β€”β€” Generic Ballot 🟦 DEM: 48% [=] πŸŸ₯ GOP: 44% [-2] [+/- change vs 8/14] β€”β€” #9 (2.9/3.0) | | 1,000 LV | Sept. 3-4 emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024…

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² National poll by Emerson 
 
🟦 Harris: 49% [-1]
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% [+1]

With leans 
🟦 Harris: 51% [-1]
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48% [=]
β€”β€”
Generic Ballot 
🟦 DEM: 48% [=]
πŸŸ₯ GOP: 44% [-2]

[+/- change vs 8/14]
β€”β€”
#9 (2.9/3.0) |  | 1,000 LV | Sept. 3-4
emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024…
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MD-6 poll by Gonzalez Research πŸ”΄ Neil Parrott: 41% πŸ”΅ April Delaney: 39% #223 (1.2/3.0) | 8/24-30 | 317 RV | Β±5.6% projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240905…

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: YouGov for The Times and The Sunday Times MICHIGAN 🟦 Harris: 48% (+5) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 43% β€” WISCONSIN 🟦 Harris: 47% (+3) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 44% β€” PENNSYLVANIA 🟦 Harris: 46% (+1) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 45% β€” NEVADA 🟦 Harris: 49% (+3) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46% β€” NORTH CAROLINA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% (+1) 🟦 Harris: 46% β€” GEORGIA

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: YouGov for <a href="/thetimes/">The Times and The Sunday Times</a> 

MICHIGAN 
🟦 Harris: 48% (+5)
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 43%
β€”
WISCONSIN 
🟦 Harris: 47% (+3)
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 44%
β€”
PENNSYLVANIA 
🟦 Harris: 46% (+1)
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 45%
β€”
NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 49% (+3)
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46%
β€”
NORTH CAROLINA 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 47% (+1)
🟦 Harris: 46%
β€”
GEORGIA
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πŸ“Š Senate polling by YouGov for The Times and The Sunday Times ARIZONA 🟦 Ruben Gallego: 50% πŸŸ₯ Kari Lake: 42% β€” MICHIGAN 🟦 Elissa Slotkin: 50% πŸŸ₯ Mike Rogers: 39% β€” PENNSYLVANIA 🟦 Bob Casey (inc): 52% πŸŸ₯ David McCormick: 41% β€” NEVADA 🟦 Jacky Rosen (inc): 51% πŸŸ₯ Sam Brown: 39% β€” WISCONSIN 🟦

πŸ“Š Senate polling by YouGov for <a href="/thetimes/">The Times and The Sunday Times</a> 

ARIZONA 
🟦 Ruben Gallego: 50%
πŸŸ₯ Kari Lake: 42%
β€”
MICHIGAN 
🟦 Elissa Slotkin: 50%
πŸŸ₯ Mike Rogers: 39%
β€”
PENNSYLVANIA 
🟦 Bob Casey (inc): 52%
πŸŸ₯ David McCormick: 41%
β€”
NEVADA
🟦 Jacky Rosen (inc): 51%
πŸŸ₯ Sam Brown: 39%
β€”
WISCONSIN 
🟦
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#Latest Nate Silver forecast (9/5) Chance of winning πŸŸ₯ Trump: 60.1% (highest since 7/30) 🟦 Harris: 39.7% β€”β€” Swing States: chance of winning Pennsylvania - πŸ”΄ Trump 61-39% Arizona - πŸ”΄ Trump 73-27% North Carolina - πŸ”΄ Trump 73-27% Georgia - πŸ”΄ Trump 65-35% Nevada - πŸ”΄

#Latest <a href="/NateSilver538/">Nate Silver</a> forecast (9/5)

Chance of winning
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 60.1% (highest since 7/30)
🟦 Harris: 39.7%
β€”β€”
Swing States: chance of winning 

Pennsylvania - πŸ”΄ Trump 61-39%
Arizona - πŸ”΄ Trump 73-27%
North Carolina - πŸ”΄ Trump 73-27%
Georgia - πŸ”΄ Trump 65-35%
Nevada - πŸ”΄
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: Patriot Polling (1.1/3.0) NORTH CAROLINA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 50% (+2) 🟦 Harris: 48% β€” ARIZONA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+2) 🟦 Harris: 47% β€” GEORGIA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+1) 🟦 Harris: 48% β€” PENNSYLVANIA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+1) 🟦 Harris: 48% β€” MICHIGAN 🟦 Harris: 48% (=) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48% β€”

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: <a href="/PatriotPolling/">Patriot Polling</a> (1.1/3.0)

NORTH CAROLINA 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 50% (+2)
🟦 Harris: 48%
β€”
ARIZONA 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+2)
🟦 Harris: 47%
β€”
GEORGIA 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+1)
🟦 Harris: 48%
β€”
PENNSYLVANIA 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% (+1)
🟦 Harris: 48%
β€”
MICHIGAN 
🟦 Harris: 48% (=)
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48%
β€”
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: Morning Consult (among likely voters) 🟦 Harris: 49% πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46% πŸŸͺ Other: 2% β€”β€” Trends Aug. 18 - πŸ”΅ Harris +4 Aug. 25 - πŸ”΅ Harris +4 Sept. 4 - πŸ”΅ Harris +3 β€”β€” #116 (1.8/3.0) | 11,414 LV | 9/2-4 | Β±1% pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: <a href="/MorningConsult/">Morning Consult</a> (among likely voters)

🟦 Harris: 49% 
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46% 
πŸŸͺ Other: 2%
β€”β€”
Trends
Aug. 18 - πŸ”΅ Harris +4
Aug. 25 - πŸ”΅ Harris +4
Sept. 4 - πŸ”΅ Harris +3
β€”β€”
#116 (1.8/3.0) | 11,414 LV | 9/2-4 | Β±1%
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…
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Statewide polling by Emerson (with leans) TEXAS πŸŸ₯ Trump: 51% (+3) 🟦 Harris: 48% β€” FLORIDA πŸŸ₯ Trump: 51% (+3) 🟦 Harris: 48% β€” OHIO πŸŸ₯ Trump: 54% (+9) 🟦 Harris: 45% β€” CALIFORNIA 🟦 Harris: 61% (+23) πŸŸ₯ Trump: 38% #9 (2.9/3.0) | 3,290 LV | Sept. 3-5 emersoncollegepolling.com/september-stat…

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Senate polling by Emerson/The Hill FLORIDA πŸŸ₯ Rick Scott (inc): 46% 🟦 D. Mucarsel-Powell: 45% β€” TEXAS πŸŸ₯ Ted Cruz (inc): 48% 🟦 Colin Allred: 44% β€” OHIO 🟦 Sherrod Brown (inc): 46% πŸŸ₯ Bernie Moreno: 44% β€” CALIFORNIA 🟦 Adam Schiff: 55% πŸŸ₯ Steve Garvey: 33% #9 (2.9/3.0) |

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² National poll by RMG Research 🟦 Harris: 50% [-1] πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48% [=] πŸŸͺ Other: 1% [+/- change vs 8/28] β€”β€” Trends Aug. 14 - πŸ”΄ Trump +2 Aug. 22 - 🟑 TIE Aug. 28 - πŸ”΅ Harris +3 Sept. 5 - πŸ”΅ Harris +2 β€” #60 (2.3/3.0) | 2,701 LV | 9/3-5 | Β±1.9% napolitaninstitute.org/2024/09/06/har…

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² National poll by <a href="/RMG_Research/">RMG Research</a>

🟦 Harris: 50% [-1]
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 48% [=]
πŸŸͺ Other: 1%

[+/- change vs 8/28]
β€”β€”
Trends
Aug. 14 - πŸ”΄ Trump +2 
Aug. 22 - 🟑 TIE
Aug. 28 - πŸ”΅ Harris +3
Sept. 5 -  πŸ”΅ Harris +2
β€”
#60 (2.3/3.0) | 2,701 LV | 9/3-5 | Β±1.9%
napolitaninstitute.org/2024/09/06/har…
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πŸ“Š TEXAS poll by @TxPolProject/YouGov πŸŸ₯ Trump: 49% 🟦 Harris: 44% πŸŸͺ Other: 3% β€” Senate πŸŸ₯ Cruz (inc): 44% 🟦 Allred: 36% πŸŸͺ Other: 6% ⬜ Undecided: 14% β€” #4 (2.9/3.0) | 8/23-31 | 1,283 RV texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/donald-tr…

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Texas poll: Kamala Harris' Favorability Ratings (shift since June) Favorable: 45% (+10) Unfavorable: 46% (-5) Net: -1% (+15) Among TX independents Favorable: 37% (+19) Unfavorable: 42% (-16) Net: -5% (+35)

Texas poll: Kamala Harris' Favorability Ratings (shift since June)

Favorable: 45% (+10)
Unfavorable: 46% (-5)
Net: -1% (+15)

Among TX independents
Favorable: 37% (+19)
Unfavorable: 42% (-16)
Net: -5% (+35)
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Montana's 1st Congressional District Fabrizio Ward (R)/Binder Research (D) πŸ”΄ Ryan Zinke (inc): 49% πŸ”΅ Monica Tranel: 43% β€”β€” Impact Research - Tranel (D) internal πŸ”΄ Ryan Zinke (inc): 46% πŸ”΅ Monica Tranel: 44% β€”β€” β€’ AARP (8/25-29, 310 LV) β€’ Dem internal (8-26-29, 500 LV)

Montana's 1st Congressional District

Fabrizio Ward (R)/Binder Research (D)

πŸ”΄ Ryan Zinke (inc): 49%
πŸ”΅ Monica Tranel: 43%
β€”β€”
Impact Research - Tranel (D) internal 

πŸ”΄ Ryan Zinke (inc): 46%
πŸ”΅ Monica Tranel: 44%
β€”β€”
β€’ AARP (8/25-29, 310 LV)
β€’ Dem internal (8-26-29, 500 LV)
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#Latest Nate Silver forecast (chance of winning) August 23 🟦 Harris: 53.5% πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46.1% September 6 πŸŸ₯ Trump: 61.5% 🟦 Harris: 38.3% β€”β€” Swing States: chance of winning Pennsylvania - πŸ”΄ Trump 62-38% Michigan - πŸ”΄ Trump 52-48% Wisconsin - πŸ”΄ Trump 52-48% Arizona - πŸ”΄

#Latest <a href="/NateSilver538/">Nate Silver</a> forecast (chance of winning)

August 23
🟦 Harris: 53.5%
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 46.1%

September 6
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 61.5% 
🟦 Harris: 38.3%
β€”β€”
Swing States: chance of winning 

Pennsylvania - πŸ”΄ Trump 62-38%
Michigan - πŸ”΄ Trump 52-48%
Wisconsin - πŸ”΄ Trump 52-48%
Arizona - πŸ”΄
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 6 Presidential Election Forecasts (9/6) 1. FiveThirtyEight (chance of winning) 🟦 Harris: 57% πŸŸ₯ Trump: 42% Electoral Votes 🟦 Harris: 285 πŸ† πŸŸ₯ Trump: 253 β€”β€” 2. RacetotheWH (chance of winning) 🟦 Harris: 56% πŸŸ₯ Trump: 43% Electoral Votes 🟦 Harris: 284 πŸ† πŸŸ₯ Trump:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 6 Presidential Election Forecasts (9/6)

1. <a href="/FiveThirtyEight/">FiveThirtyEight</a> (chance of winning)

🟦 Harris: 57%
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 42%

Electoral Votes 
🟦 Harris: 285 πŸ†
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 253
β€”β€”
2. <a href="/RacetotheWH/">RacetotheWH</a> (chance of winning)

🟦 Harris: 56%
πŸŸ₯ Trump: 43%

Electoral Votes 
🟦 Harris: 284 πŸ†
πŸŸ₯ Trump: