The Intuitive Logics (IL) method – also known as the ‘2x2’ or ‘4-quadrant’ approach – is one of the most popular approaches to scenario planning. In short, IL derives 4 scenarios from 2 critical uncertainties by placing each uncertainty on an axis of a quadrant diagram. A🧵1/

"Between 30% - 50% of emissions can be reduced by making significant shifts on the demand side, whether it is energy efficient buildings or new forms and efficient transportation systems. Cities have the potencial to take ourselves on a net-zero resilient pathway" Aromar Revi

Great to see brilliant Are Børjesson present our work in the City of Bergen (Bergen kommune) on smart mobility strategies at the Urban Transitions Mission Summit today! Digital regulation of mobility works. #sustainability #climate #cities

TERI Miami-Dade County Bergen kommune Julio Lumbreras Google Are Børjesson from Bergen kommune on smart mobility strategies: "We started cooperating with private sector to develop a tool for micro-mobility digital regulation, a pilot that started for safety use of e-scooters and that got expanded to regulare all-connected vehicles."

Revisited Peter Schwartz's book in preparation to my today lecture on #ScenarioPlanning. Came across the concept of #reperceiving - 'to be able to question assumptions about the way the world works'👇

Langt der oppe mot nord bur det eit trassig folk som kjemper i mot den globale oppvarminga

SVTers @[email protected] & Andrea Saltelli are co-authors of a new article in Risk Analysis exploring how the modelling of #energy systems may lead to undue closure of alternatives by generating an excess of certainty around some of the possible policy options #OpenAccess

"Controversies of carbon dioxide removal": new Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 🌈 viewpoint spanning different perspectives, including Kevin Anderson, Holly Jean Buck, Lili Fuhr, Glen Peters, Eve Tamme and myself nature.com/articles/s4301… (OA later today) Read only version rdcu.be/dre80

"In social science, the real laboratories are territories, people and initiatives": Massimo De Marchi makes a strong case for long-term research at the Università di Padova PhD Winter School on Vulnerability. Great to be able to join the discussions virtually from Bergen!

The mitigation levels reported by the IPCC, & used by countries to support their emission pledges, assume that large-scale CDR will be deployed. The mere existence of CDR delays emission reductions, compared to a case where CDR is limited in scale. nature.com/articles/s4301…

We know that every scenario process includes some future conditions and values and excludes others 📈But how are these boundaries generated? And can we enrich them with the transformative conditions of the 21st century? Read our new paper in One Earth!🌿doi.org/10.1016/j.onee… 1/

Place shapes people, people shape place - @uibcet on an exciting transformation journey

Climate policy isn't all that bad. Depending on how you model the economy, climate policy can lead to benefits in terms of GDP & employment. How can the IPCC be more inclusive of different modelling approaches & model diverse policy packages? nature.com/articles/s4416…

Probably the most beautiful book I have ever had the pleasure of contributing to. On top of that, it deals with the highly relevant topic of changing seasonality in times of polycrisis. Many thanks, Scott Bremer and Arjan Wardekker😊 Senter for vitenskapsteori

Jakob Grandin på avslutningen av #SDGBergen: det er mange kunnskapsprodusenter, hva er universitetets verdi i dette? Rom for kritikk, uenighet er viktig. Jakob Grandin UiB CET

I går avholdt Fremtenkt verkstedet 1,5-gradersbyen – Bergen i 2050, men god hjelp fra Jakob Grandin. Han innledet om hva 1,5-gradersby betyr, og hvor dramatisk annerledes Bergen og verden kommer til å se ut i 2050. 1/6

Warm congratulations to my brilliant and generous friend Siddharth Sareen (here at the UNHQ to present policy briefs on renewable energy) to the Nils Klim prize. This is so well deserved. Sid is also an excellent guide to the best basement jazz clubs across the world.

What a day! So grateful for the speakers and the wonderful engagement amongst them and those who came and watched us in the auditoria and online Universitetet i Bergen LitthusBergen. Also to have this art-science co-production in place.

I morgen skal Fremtenkt presentere vår erfaring med: 🧭Å bruke fremtiden som et verktøy for deltakende byplanlegging🔧 … på denne månedens Bærekraftig frokost! uib.no/en/cet/171086/…