We don't know much yet, but one big difference so far between Iran's attack on Israel and Israel's response is that the Israeli missiles are hitting their targets

Does not sound like nuclear sites were targeted. Military targets only. US was notified in advance. Escalation was not the objective.

Israel demonstrating its capability to reach inside Iran at will. That is the step taken tonight to begin restoring deterrence.

2025 NYC Mayor GE:

Eric Adams 16%
Someone else 65%

.Manhattan Institute, 700 LV, 4/8-11
manhattan.institute/article/pollin…

ISRAELI STRIKES ON IRAN

- Explosions reported in Isfahan Province in Central Iran

- Near-simultaneous reports of blasts in Iraq and southern Syria

- US official confirms to ABC News that Israel carried out strike inside Iran

- Iranian state-linked media confirm explosion in…

BREAKING: Israel has conducted missile strikes on Iran

Eric Adams’ approval rating amongst NYC voters is *24%*

🚨New Manhattan Institute NYC Poll of Likely Mayoral Voters🚨

Broad consensus across party/demographic lines:
📉Mayor Eric Adams is unpopular
🚔Crime = top issue
🛂Concern over migrant inflows
🗳️Political change needed

2025 vote:
Eric Adams 16%
Someone else 65%
🧵
manhattan.institute/article/pollin…

Responding to a claim in Liz Truss's memoir that Downing Street is infested with fleas, Jeremy Hunt tells Liz Hoffman he 'replaced all the carpets at my own vast expense.'

'I'm pleased to say that the Hunt family has not had the flea problem,' he adds. #WES2024

‘Starmer does seem a little more normal… but it’s a low bar!’

Pollster Scarlett Maguire discusses the public’s perception of the two major party leaders ahead of a looming election.

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Pretty remarkable just how anti-foreign aid the U.S. public now is.

Loan to Ukraine is opposed by 47% of likely voters, Israel/Indo-Pacific money also opposed. Just 17% of Republicans support a Ukraine loan.

J.L Partners polling in The Daily Signal dailysignal.com/2024/04/18/ame…

American Voters Voice Disapproval of Speaker Johnson’s Foreign Aid Bills: New Poll

Via Rob Bluey:

dailysignal.com/2024/04/18/ame…

What are the wildcards that could disrupt the US election and change the polls?

1. Trump conviction (moderate chance, low impact)
2. A bad Biden fall (moderate chance + impact)
3. The debates (high chance + impact)
4. RFK over-performance (moderate chance, high impact)
5.…

New J.L. Partners analysis showing that voters are mow more likely to vote Labour than Conservative until they are *70 years-old* in today’s POLITICOEurope Julian

More details on Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/… Alex Wickham

Always mind blowing for Brit reporters to cover US courts - almost everything that has happened in Trump trial so far would be unreportable. In US, juries are trusted not to read coverage and the First Amendment means restrictions on reporting are almost non-existent

It’s gone up 4 years in the space of 2 months. Our poll with YouGov back in Feb had the tipping age at 66.

EXCLUSIVE JLP analysis for Bloomberg

The age at which British voters tend to favor the Conservative Party over Labour has increased from 39 during the last election to *70 years old*.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

this is a staggering statistic

Sterling work from Julian digging this out

Exclusive J.L. Partners >>>

— the age at which British voters become more likely to choose the Conservative Party over Labour has soared from 39 at the last election to **70 years-old**

— working age voters have turned their backs on the Tories

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…