Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile
Jay Shafer, PhD

@jayshaferwx

Sky watcher. Scientist. Dad. Entrepreneur. Educator. Bringing people and technology together to solve big problems. Views my own.

ID: 412372671

calendar_today14-11-2011 16:12:20

1,1K Tweet

797 Followers

1,1K Following

Tomer Burg (@burgwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Beryl's MSLP-sustained wind relationship evolved over the course of its lifetime - from a small category 5 hurricane with a relatively high minimum MSLP, to a large hurricane in the Gulf with a relatively low minimum MSLP.

Beryl's MSLP-sustained wind relationship evolved over the course of its lifetime - from a small category 5 hurricane with a relatively high minimum MSLP, to a large hurricane in the Gulf with a relatively low minimum MSLP.
Jacob Feuerstein (@jacob_feuer) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Last night, it rained nearly five inches at the St. Johnsbury - Fairbanks ASOS station in Vermont. Here's the maximum depth over time plotted against recurrence intervals from NOAA Atlas 14; at twelve hours, it was greater than a 100 year event.

Last night, it rained nearly five inches at the St. Johnsbury - Fairbanks ASOS station in Vermont. Here's the maximum depth over time plotted against recurrence intervals from NOAA Atlas 14; at twelve hours, it was greater than a 100 year event.
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hurricane Beryl was a beast. Southeast wind direction and highest winds in highly populated areas increased power grid impacts. Hurricane force winds over 100 miles inland. Ali Mostafavi ✨️ Adam Krueger 💯 Matt Lanza 🤌🏼 #HurricaneBeryl #txwx

Hurricane Beryl was a beast. Southeast wind direction and highest winds in highly populated areas increased power grid impacts. Hurricane force winds over 100 miles inland. <a href="/Mostafavi_Ali/">Ali Mostafavi ✨️</a> <a href="/AdamKrueger/">Adam Krueger 💯</a> <a href="/mattlanza/">Matt Lanza 🤌🏼</a> #HurricaneBeryl #txwx
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hurricane Beryl's track was critical to power outage impacts, with the greatest damage and power outage duration right of the track. Never be fooled by the storm category - hurricanes always present unique risks. Dr. Matthew Lazzara Disaster Tech #HurricaneBeryl #poweroutages

Hurricane Beryl's track was critical to power outage impacts, with the greatest damage and power outage duration right of the track. Never be fooled by the storm category - hurricanes always present unique risks. <a href="/MatthewLazzara/">Dr. Matthew Lazzara</a> <a href="/disastertechinc/">Disaster Tech</a> #HurricaneBeryl #poweroutages
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Twisters was great. The human story was interesting and complex, realistic science, great special effects (especially the sounds), and a positive message for all of us Tornado wranglers out there doing our best to save lives. Inspiration for the next generation. #TwistersMovie

NWS Burlington (@nwsburlington) 's Twitter Profile Photo

An incredible amount of rain fell across portions of northeast Vermont overnight. Here's a zoomed in view of the reports we've tallied. The highest amount of 8.41" was recorded by one of our CoCoRaHS observers in St. Johnsbury.

An incredible amount of rain fell across portions of northeast Vermont overnight. Here's a zoomed in view of the reports we've tallied. The highest amount of 8.41" was recorded by one of our CoCoRaHS observers in St. Johnsbury.
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

NOAA's leading hurricane models both show Debby making landfalling near each other with the HWRF a little faster and with more inland precipitation. HAFS continues to be benchmarked against the HWRF as its phased in. Graphics: Dr. Levi Cowan .

NOAA's leading hurricane models both show Debby making landfalling near each other with the HWRF a little faster and with more inland precipitation. HAFS continues to be benchmarked against the HWRF as its phased in. Graphics: <a href="/TropicalTidbits/">Dr. Levi Cowan</a> .
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Heavy inland rainfall will likely be the most impactful hazard from tropical storm Debby given her slow movement. Numerous river gauges predicted at or above flood stage. #flooding #Debby

Heavy inland rainfall will likely be the most impactful hazard from tropical storm Debby given her slow movement. Numerous river gauges predicted at or above flood stage.  #flooding #Debby
Jason Elliott (@jsaysitall) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It takes a major event for us to highlight the potential for catastrophic flooding impacts this far ahead. A swath of significant flooding is expected from the Big Bend of Florida northeast to the Carolina coast. Be prepared, and never drive into flood waters!

It takes a major event for us to highlight the potential for catastrophic flooding impacts this far ahead. A swath of significant flooding is expected from the Big Bend of Florida northeast to the Carolina coast. Be prepared, and never drive into flood waters!
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Technology I developed at Disaster Tech shows how power outage risk was reasonably well predicted showing the potential location of greatest power outages from Hurricane Debby. #HurricaneDebby #FLwx

Technology I developed at <a href="/disastertechinc/">Disaster Tech</a> shows how power outage risk was reasonably well predicted showing the potential location of greatest power outages from Hurricane Debby. #HurricaneDebby #FLwx
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Peak wind speed direction for tropical depression Debby shows the dependency of track on direction. The complex terrain causes more localized directionality. Southeast winds caused majority of power reliability issues. #wind #tropicalstormdebby

Peak wind speed direction for tropical depression Debby shows the dependency of track on direction. The complex terrain causes more localized directionality. Southeast winds caused majority of power reliability issues. #wind #tropicalstormdebby
Brian Brettschneider (@climatologist49) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Summer 2024 temperature ranking compared to all summers since 1895 using Prism data. (Note: Prism data is "cooler" in the central U.S. than NCEI station data).

Summer 2024 temperature ranking compared to all summers since 1895 using Prism data. (Note: Prism data is "cooler" in the central U.S. than NCEI station data).
Brian Brettschneider (@climatologist49) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Summer (Jun-Aug) 2024 precipitation ranking compared to all summers since 1895. Several pockets of green indicating record summer precipitation. Note: the red in CA is where no rain fell. This is not uncommon.

Summer (Jun-Aug) 2024 precipitation ranking compared to all summers since 1895. Several pockets of green indicating record summer precipitation. Note: the red in CA is where no rain fell. This is not uncommon.
Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Good example of an ana-front presentation of a cold front where precipitation is focused behind frontal passage with dry air ahead. Not as common in the east. #coldfront #anafront

Good example of an ana-front presentation of a cold front where precipitation is focused behind frontal passage with dry air ahead. Not as common in the east. #coldfront #anafront
The Hotshot Wake Up (@hotshotwake) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Incredible footage of a fire whirl on the Warner Peak Fire in Oregon, captured by the UAS module working on the fire. #wildfire #orfire #orex The drone’s IR camera captured the event, and you can see the rate of spread increase drastically as the whirl develops. Amazing

Jay Shafer, PhD (@jayshaferwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm giving a lunch and learn talk about Hurricanes and the type of products we use for our resilience-as-a-service at Disaster Tech . This graphic shows a 2-day ahead forecast for a potential New England black swan event. Register here. events.teams.microsoft.com/event/a5bd3bb2… #hurricanes

I'm giving a lunch and learn talk about Hurricanes and the type of products we use for our resilience-as-a-service at <a href="/disastertechinc/">Disaster Tech</a> . This graphic shows a 2-day ahead forecast for a potential New England black swan event. Register here.  events.teams.microsoft.com/event/a5bd3bb2… #hurricanes