Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profileg
Julian Jessop FRSA

@julianHjessop

Independent economist. Likes charts. IEA Economics Fellow. Speakers for Schools. Geller Commission. COYG. Own views, etc. I fund myself. See website for more 👇

ID:42622053

linkhttps://julianhjessop.com/about/ calendar_today26-05-2009 13:19:42

32,2K Tweets

28,9K Followers

1,8K Following

Follow People
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

More reassurance on UK ... 👍

The British Retail Consortium suggests annual shop price inflation eased again in April, to 0.8% from 1.3%, with non-food prices now 0.6% lower than a year ago.

inflation still elevated at 3.4%, but down from 3.7% in March.

brc.org.uk/news/corporate…

account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Nothing in today's area data to prevent the from cutting rates at the next monetary policy meeting in June... 👇

Headline measure flat at 2.4%, but 'core' and services still easing 👍

ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/we…

Nothing in today's #euro area #inflation data to prevent the #ECB from cutting rates at the next monetary policy meeting in June... 👇 Headline measure flat at 2.4%, but 'core' and services still easing 👍 ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/we…
account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

💥 latest estimates suggest that the euro area exited in Q1, with rising 0.3% q/q (revised data show falls of 0.1% in both Q3 and Q4 last year) 👇

Even positive at +0.2%, though this failed to reverse a 0.5% contraction in Q4.

ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/we…

account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

'Bonnet de douche!', as Del Boy would say... 😉

French economy grew 0.2% in Q1, boosting chances of a positive number for the euro area as a whole (data out at 10am)

reuters.com/markets/europe…

account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Short 🧵 for 'nowcasting' nerds 🤓

The first estimate of area in Q1 is out tomorrow (consensus +0.1% q/q). I've been playing around with a rule of thumb suggested by economists at the , based on the ...

ecb.europa.eu/press/economic…

account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

FYI, German likely to have ticked up to 2.4% in April on the EU harmonised measure (unchanged at 2.2% on the national measure), but both 'core' and services inflation lower than in March, so still looking good for first rate cut in June.

destatis.de/EN/Press/2024/…

account_circle
Julian Jessop FRSA(@julianHjessop) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A less encouraging signal from the ... 🤨

Economic sentiment edged lower in April and remains below its long-run average (tomorrow's data may show return to growth in Q1, but recovery looks set to remain feeble)

More here: economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/downl…

A less encouraging signal from the #EU... 🤨 Economic sentiment edged lower in April and remains below its long-run average (tomorrow's #GDP data may show return to growth in Q1, but recovery looks set to remain feeble) More here: economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/document/downl…
account_circle