Know Comment about a BOE? There are too many invariables, and that Arctic Sea Ice is one tough cookie. But keeping a lid on a simmering casserole of Deep Ocean Heat is not a good recipe. A watched pot never boils...until it does. It ain't a holks, Foax.

If you're not worried, you're not paying attention.

After July 2024 was slightly colder than July 2023, August 2024 seems to have been slightly warmer than August 2023 again. Due to a very high global mean sea surface temperature, we are in danger of heading towards the 1st post-Niño year without cooling in the system. That's bad!

Kris Van Steenbergen I think the word "colder" should be stricken from the record!

Climate analysts have a very difficult time deciding whether or not it is time to panic. But our oceans are now sending us signals not to count on geo-engineering or a possible abrupt carbon stop. Those things aren't going to help us anymore. climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/… COP29 Azerbaijan

You see a lot of energy in the oceans, reducing their future heat and carbon sequestration potential, and the process is barely starting. The heat will return to the atmosphere, sooner or later. "Welcome to the Pyrocene," coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data_current/5…

1.Record-High Temperatures: The charts clearly show that both global surface air and sea surface temperatures in 2023 and 2024 are far above the historical averages. These temperatures are unprecedented and continue to break records. 2.Unprecedented Ocean Warming: The

sea surface temperature charts indicate that oceans, particularly in the North Atlantic, have warmed to levels that are far above the historical mean. This is alarming because oceans play a crucial role in regulating the Earth’s climate. 3.Limited Solutions:

Common proposed solutions such as geo-engineering (deliberate large-scale intervention in the Earth’s climate system) or abruptly stopping carbon emissions might no longer be enough to mitigate the damage. It means the situation has reached a critical point where reversing the

Trend is unknown & even impossible. The oceans’ current state is sending a clear signal that humanity is running out of time to prevent catastrophic climate impacts.

Kris Van Steenbergen COP29 Azerbaijan Impossible to respect any “climate analyst” who does not think it’s way past time to panic. Their indecision is an incompetence that should disqualify them from input. And geoengineering and other technocratic miracles that don’t exist were always climate denial. Lethal jokes.

We are really in serious trouble. The forecasts (GFS) for the Northern Hemisphere are disastrous. If we continue inaction, the global annual average too will rise to above 1.7°C of warming in 2024 compared to the reference period 1850-1900. European Commission climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/…

If we reach 1.5°C, this is what is going to happen: ‼️Every fraction of a degree matters—beyond 1.5°C, the risks and damages from extreme weather, sea-level rise, and biodiversity loss increase dramatically.

Kris Van Steenbergen European Commission So 20.5? Seems plausible for December, but really unlikely. What scares me is the pull back from an EN is generally about 0.2, IIRC, which would MEAN 2025 would hover around 1.5. I suspect the next year above 1.5 will be the last time we see < 1.5. Basically, 1.5 is crossed.

Kris Van Steenbergen European Commission Also, in a rapidly accelerating system, likely at a major bifurcation point, using 5-year means, let alone 10, 20 or 30, seems outdated and a dangerous underestimation.

Kris Van Steenbergen I've been getting notifications that Kris has been posting, but I can't find any new tweets. Am I not seeing his "free speech"?