$BTC is done for 2024. Come back in 2025.

$BTC legendary front-running of 2024 halving leading to no gas left in the tank in 2024. Try again in 2025. Even Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com got this one wrong, and Fundstrat doesn't get anything wrong, not even their $IWM small cap call (I believe they're correct on that)

$BTC plans are measured in centuries.

Interesting that after all these Canadian taxes and restrictions, residential real estate affordability remains a serious problem. Must be time for some more taxes.

Starting studies on $VIX1D. It's a very new VIX product so this is just academic for now, but good 1/3 month returns. VIX1D performance after a 1-day spike/rate-of-change of 80% or more. Today it's up ~125%, will see how it closes. $VIX $VXN #fear #markets $NVDA

$BTC needs to go through a correction in price AND time... this is currently happening. May not get a 50% drop in Bitcoin from here, but we may get a long chop and sideways play until 2025

Social media, especially instagram and tick tock, makes life cheap and without meaning after endless scrolling. Incredible things can’t even hold your attention for 1 seconds

Warren Buffet $BRK.A $BRK.B is breaking out of a long term consolidation box relative to S&P500 $SPX back to 2008!

Does Tom Lee and Ryan Detrick calling for a correction support or counter the seasonality charts that everyone is sharing right now? Asking for a friend

Where the bulls at?

Steam being taken out of the market, it's palpable even though QQQ only 8.5% from ATH, SPX 3%. SOXX at more than -20% is in technical bear market... AVGO today disappointed.

#BMSB my model shows $SPX needs to fall another 7% to trigger a risk-off event. So far this is just a flesh wound. There's a chance my risk-off trigger fires in seasonally weak Sept/Oct. Bull Market Support Band sitting at SPX 5,033 and rising 6pts per day.

Make trading rules, build models, backtest, execute, refine. My model is invested 70% of the time since October 16, 2000. Avoided drawdowns 📉 Dot-com: -45% 🚫 buy back -35% ✅ GFC: -53% 🚫 buy back -35% ✅ 2022: -19% 🚫buy back -6% ✅ #models #markets $SPX $QQQ #risk