Sudzha transit point – the state of play. In this thread, I’ll summarize what we know about the 🇺🇦 capture of the gas metering point in Kursk Oblast, its impact on gas transit, and what it could mean for the future (with a question mark) – as of today. 🧵 1/

🇹🇷Turkey: a looming demographic crisis 🔵"Turkish society is younger than Europe's🇪🇺, but there are clear indications that it is ageing. The median age rose from 25.8 years in 2000 to 34 in 2023, compared to 44.5 in the EU." 🔵More from Zuzanna Krzyżanowska⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

Be sure to check out our latest social media project - OSW – Centre for Eastern Studies, Poland YouTube channel 📽 We reached another major milestone - 1 milion views of a single video! Kudos to our great Russia expert Katarzyna Chawryło! Join our 40k+ subscribers 👇

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The demise of the West and the dawn of the Asian Era: Orbán’s vision of the world 🔴Orbán declared that this would be the largest revolution in 500 years and viewed it as an opportunity rather than a threat for🇭🇺Hungary. 🔴Analysis from Andrzej Sadecki 📗osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

Who destroyed the Nord Stream gas pipeline? 🇺🇦Ukraine has been accused of it, but why would 🇷🇺Russia sabotage its own infrastructure? Filip Rudnik explains⤵️ youtu.be/rfG2WZp8j54

🇺🇦The Ukrainian parliament votes to ban a Moscow-controlled church 🔵"Russian🇷🇺propaganda will likely use the new law as evidence of the alleged oppressiveness of the ‘Kyiv regime’." 🔵More from Marcin Jędrysiak and Krzysztof Nieczypor⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

Engaging the private sector. Germany’s plan for the reconstruction of Ukraine 🔰"The🇩🇪government believes in the involvement of institutional investors, philanthropists, and foundations in the reconstruction plans." 🔰Sebastian Płóciennik has the details.⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🇦🇿🇷🇺Putin visits Baku: a partnership of convenience 🔥"Putin’s recent trip to Azerbaijan, the first since 2018, was organised in the shadow of the Ukrainian military operation in the Kursk region." 🔵More from Krzysztof Strachota & Miłosz Bartosiewicz.⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🇩🇪Germany: uncertain future of further military support to Ukraine🇺🇦 🔵"By blocking additional financial assistance, the ruling SPD and FDP also intended to achieve certain electoral benefits." 🔵Analysis by Lidia Gibadło & Piotr Szymanski⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🇱🇻Latvia: a looming threat of Russian separatism 🔵How large is Latvia's Russian-speaking minority and are they a threat to its stability? 🔵Are they discriminated against and do they want Putin's Russia to intervene? Bartosz Chmielewski provides analysis🎬 youtu.be/ULmgXialiiU

🚂Low speed rail. Delays in the implementation of the Rail Baltica project "The railway will stretch 870 km, connecting🇪🇪Estonia, 🇱🇻Latvia & 🇱🇹Lithuania to🇵🇱Poland and🇫🇮Finland. Bartosz Chmielewski has more details: osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🇺🇦Ukraine launches incursion into Russian territory🇷🇺 in Belgorod oblast around Nekhoteevka and Shebekino. Could Ukraine outflank Russia north of Kharkiv?

Large-scale Russian strike on Ukraine’s🇺🇦energy infrastructure 🔵Many Ukrainian commentators think that the attack is a🇷🇺act of revenge for the incursion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into Russian territory. 🔵More from Andrzej Wilk & Slawomir Matuszak⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🚢 If you're curious about Russia's evolving strategy in the LNG sector and its way to circumvent the sanctions - check out my latest short analysis OSW – Centre for Eastern Studies, Poland on how Novatek is building a "shadow fleet" of LNG carriers. 🌍 🔗 osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

🇺🇦War Notes from Ukraine and Russia 🔵August was the most active month in a year for both parties with territory taken in Russia and Ukraine.

Success for the AfD and the BSW in Thuringia and Saxony 🇩🇪The pro-Russian and anti-immigrant BSW is the biggest winner as it secured a significant position in both federal states despite lacking well-developed party-structures Kamil Frymark has the details osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

Azerbaijan: Relative success for authoritarianism 🇦🇿Ilham Aliyev led his country to victory over Armenia🇦🇲in the war for Nagorno-Karabakh. His reign has seen further successes. However, many problems remain in the state. Wojciech Górecki explains📽️ youtube.com/watch?v=vTRmP6…

🔴Germany 🇩🇪: the government’s import strategy for hydrogen and its derivatives 🔵The strategy also highlights the efforts the federal government has made so far to develop hydrogen cooperation with potential exporting countries. ➡️More by Michał Kędzierski⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…

Zelensky, Yermak and Ukraine’s wartime governance 🇺🇦"During the COVID-19 pandemic, Zelensky and Yermak fell ill simultaneously. Their shared isolation and Yermak’s crisis management assistance strengthened their relationship." More from Marcin Jędrysiak⤵️ osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/…