Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profileg
Caleb Franzen

@CalebFranzen

Analyst.

ID:1277423417365377025

linkhttps://www.patreon.com/CubicAnalytics/membership calendar_today29-06-2020 02:07:42

46,2K Tweets

47,5K Followers

820 Following

Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Some facts about S&P 500 YTD returns:

242 stocks in the index have a positive YTD return
193 have a YTD return of at least +5%
158 have a YTD return of at least +10%
91 have a YTD return of at least +20%
53 have a YTD return of at least +30%
20 have a YTD return of at least +50%

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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

So the S&P 500 was down -0.01% today, with net new highs on a 20-day, 50-day, and 52-week basis, and is at $28,500 and people are super bearish right now?

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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm not happy with $UNP earnings. I'm cutting the position from the portfolio for a net gain of +6% since I started buying the stock in March 2023.

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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The 4-week moving average of initial unemployment claims reaches 205.7k, the lowest levels since early February 2023.

The 4-week moving average of initial unemployment claims reaches 205.7k, the lowest levels since early February 2023.
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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This is why I kept warning about the 'shoot from the hip' commentary & FUD about initial claims.

Every major increase in the unemployment rate is accompanied by an increase in initial claims, but not every initial claims increase will result in higher unemployment rates.

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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

How I'm thinking about the market right now:

The S&P 500 was up +20% in the first 7 months of 2023 (equal-weight S&P 500 $RSP was up +10%) and the market reached a state of extreme greed, according to the Fear & Greed Index. All of the U.S. indexes were outpacing their average…

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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The 10Y Treasury yield has increased by +27% YTD.

Given this context, equities & have been resilient!

Dow Jones $DJX +1.6%
S&P 500 $SPX +12.4%
Nasdaq-100 $NDX +36.3%
Bitcoin $BTC +72.2%

Amazing to see tech/duration outperform.

I'm impressed. You should be too.

The 10Y Treasury yield has increased by +27% YTD. Given this context, equities & #Bitcoin have been resilient! Dow Jones $DJX +1.6% S&P 500 $SPX +12.4% Nasdaq-100 $NDX +36.3% Bitcoin $BTC +72.2% Amazing to see tech/duration outperform. I'm impressed. You should be too.
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Caleb Franzen(@CalebFranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Yes, the Magnificent 7 are dominating.

You know who else dominates?

LeBron James. Steph Curry. Kevin Durant. Luka Doncic. Jokic. Antetokounmpo.

MVP's are supposed to act like MVP's. They put up numbers.

Pro tip: draft them onto your team/portfolio.

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