This would be very positive news for the Democrats. ME-2 is generally a Republican district so for Harris to win this would be a big boost.

Louis XVI bankrupted his nation and condemned his royal line so that this could be.

An exceptionally stark reminder of the North-South divide that exists along educational lines. It's great to see this improvement but more needs to be done to address the woefully large gap in educational attainment for our children.

JUST IN - Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race and endorses Donald Trump.

🚨 NEW: Keir Starmer has officially lasted longer as PM than Liz Truss

Today's update. We are already seeing a convention bounce for Harris, and this is from data BEFORE her speech last night. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…

🕐 6 in 10 Labour voters expect change within Starmer's first year, a new poll suggests. The poll for Arden Strategies by JLP seeks to show what Labour needs to do to stay in power – and the different tribes making up its 2024 coalition: labourlist.org/2024/08/keir-s…

Clear evidence of Keir Starmer's back-channeling abilities.

I’ve still got that suit 😉

🚨 1st Tory leadership ballot PATEL IS OUT Jenrick comes top Badenoch 22 Cleverly 21 Jenrick 28 Patel 14 Stride 16 Tugendhat 17

We at Daily Mail US are launching our 2024 election model today. The pointy heads at @j_l_partners have done an amazing job with 80 years of data, and clever algorithms to account for third party candidates in battleground states 🧵/x

2024 presidential election model predicts who's on course to win the electoral college trib.al/oTZLjnk

🚨 NEW: Launch of the Daily Mail US J.L. Partners Election model, September 5th update 🚨 *Election on a knife-edge, 50.5% chance of Trump victory* Central estimate: TRUMP: 287 HARRIS: 251 MORE: dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1… METHOD: jlpartners.com/presidential-r…

More visualisations, interactive graphics, and breakdown of the method courtesy of @callum_l_hunter here jlpartners.com/presidential-r…

🚨 BREAKING - JUST RELEASED 2024 election model finds Trump winning PENNSYLVANIA & the electoral college ELECTORAL COLLEGE: 🔴 Trump: 287 🏆 🔵 Harris: 251 ODDS OF VICTORY: 🔴 PENNSYLVANIA: Trump 54.2% 🔴 NEVADA: Trump 53.8% 🔴 ARIZONA: Trump 64.3% 🔴 NORTH CAROLINA: Trump

Pennsylvania - THE state that will decide the election - is currently a toss up with Trump predicted to win the state 54% of time in our J.L. Partners 🇺🇸 model with Daily Mail US. Currently just 21,000 voters stand between Harris and the White House. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…

#NEW 2024 electoral college models 🔴 Trump: 51.1% (+2.7) 🔵 Harris: 48.4% Who do you think is closest to where we're at right now?

All nuanced dinner party conversation about the election can stop. Just don a giant foam hand and point at the model when people ask who is going to win