Monroe County isn’t in the NyC media market and also shifted right. It’s more likely that NY pandemic expats with second homes in the Poconos switched back to voting in NY.

Great look at Nevada's House races by Gabby Birenbaum. The Crystal Ball has all 3 Dem-held seats at Likely D.

Last time we will see them vote the same way for a long time.

For comparison here's the full results. Despite the 2010 red wave and Traficant cutting into his Mahoning margins Ryan still easily won

Fresh from doing 7 years in federal prison for tax evasion, ex-Congressman Jim Traficant ran as an independent in his old district in 2010, calling for repeal of the 16th Amendment. He got 16% of the vote and won no precincts, but came in second in much of the Mahoning Valley.

This is a gold mine

The swing between the 2012 and 2020 Presidential Elections in New York, Partly a result of Huricane Sandy in addition to the broader elections trends seen throughout the 2010s—despite doing almost as well nationally as Obama, Biden did 5% worse than him in NY State.

I think it's safe to say this was the last election in our lifetimes where McDowell and Montgomery simultaneously vote for a Democrat for US Senate.

Still blows my mind how Manchin pulled that off in 2018 two years after every county voted for Trump.

Jeff Singer 🗳️ Cecil Underwood and Jerry Brown also have the distinction of each one being both the youngest and oldest Governor in their state's history.

The 2001 Virginia Gubernatorial Election Virginia a contest between 1996 Senate Runner up, NoVA Businessman Mark Warner, and incumbent Attorney General Mark Earley Saw the NoVA businessman win, and begin a political career that would see him become a Titan in Virginia Politics

Texas: R+21.8 -> R+14.7 -> R+9.3
Lincoln: D+0.8 -> D+7.2 -> D+4.9

#UT02 (R): Rep. Celeste Maloy hangs on & qualifies for primary at convention after Sen. Mike Lee endorsed opponent Colby Jenkins.

In Utah, candidates need 40% of convention delegate votes or enough voter signatures to qualify for primary. Maloy was a 'convention-only' candidate.

30 years later, the winner of this city council race in Richmond signed my map.

(But really, thanks Tim Kaine!)

Behold - The 2024 GOP Primary in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District Special Election.

What was originally thought as a safe nomination for State Sen. and grocery store magnate Michael Rulli resulted in a closer election due to his more conservative opponent, Reggie Stoltzfus.

#ElectionTwitter Here's a map of the elasticity by county in Maryland from 2016-2022. The state is not very elastic, with Dem strongholds like Baltimore and the DC suburbs showing low levels of ticket-splitting. Because of this, even Larry Hogan will struggle to flip MD red.

On behalf of Professor Larry Sabato and everyone at Center for Politics at UVA UVA thank you Professor Liz Cheney for another great semester.