Vaccines
* Saved 154 million lives from 1974-present
* 146 million of those were kids under 5, 101 million infants
* Total years of life saved is 9 *billion*
* Measles vaccine alone saved 93.7 million lives

vox.com/future-perfect…

Assuming this is correct there are still only good guys in this story. It's good to formulate plausible hypotheses about how to help the poor. It's good to rigorously test them. If they don't work, it's good to know so that, over time, we know more and more about what to do.

Good sanity check from Kelsey Piper on all the Boeing news:

“The NTSB lists 12 incidents on commercial aircraft in the US so far this year.

Last year, during the same time period, there were 13 such incidents.
 
From 2010 to 2023, there were on average 36 incidents a year”

The data are on a 1-5 scale, the mean is 4.61, and the standard deviation is 1.64 . . . What’s so wrong about that??
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/19/the…

“He had acquired his belief not by honestly earning it in patient investigation, but by stifling his doubts. And although in the end he may have felt so sure about it that he could not think otherwise, yet inasmuch as he had knowingly and willingly worked
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/04/10/acq/

I'd missed in all the excitement that Dias actually sued Rochester just like Gino sued Harvard

Economic Growth Makes Physical Stuff Cheap and Time Precious

Many-shot jailbreaking exploits the long context windows of current LLMs. The attacker inputs a prompt beginning with hundreds of faux dialogues where a supposed AI complies with harmful requests. This overrides the LLM's safety training:

Terrible to see the many reports about rising suicide rates among young people in the US.

I wanted to see whether this is also happening in other countries.
In many other countries it isn't happening, and rates are mostly constant or falling

The xz backdoor was the final part of a campaign that spanned two years of operations. These operations were predominantly HUMINT style agent operations. There was an approach that lasted months before the Jia Tan persona was well positioned to be given a trusted role.