Update: Trump now leads Biden in Favorability

Trump leads Biden in the RCP aggregate
Trump leads Biden in the RCP Favorability aggregate
Trump leads in the RCP betting odds aggregate
Trump leads in the RCP aggregate in:
MI/PA/WI*/GA/AZ/NV
GOP lead in RCP Generic vote aggregate

If Trump were to win nationwide by 2% or so, would this be a fairly reasonable estimate of what that would look like? (This is not saying he WILL win by 2% nationwide, but should he)

UPDATE:
HarrisX Trump 53%
Harvard Trump 53%
Dem Corps Trump 51%
Reuters Trump 51%
Marquette Trump 52%
CBS Trump 51%
Fox Trump 50%

Morning Consult, a poll in which Trump never led in 2020, has him up 3.

BTW, in its 2020 final vs. 2020 actual, Morning Consult was off by about 3 points in every state . . . in Rutabaga's direction. So you might wanna add 3 points to that for Trump.

Aggregate of all such polls is settling at the Blacks Trump circa 20% mark. If on election day it came in at 16% plus stay at homes it would be tectonic.

Florida keeps trending Republican.

Rust Belt Poll: 2020 voters who participated in the Rust Belt Poll in the Keystone Battleground told us they voted 50.2% to 47.1% for Joe Biden.

Trump now leads with this group by 1.3%, but among non-2020 voters by 17.5%.

That's a sneak peek. Stay tuned for full results.

The problem Bill Maher is that Democrats have no bench at the moment.

Be careful what you wish for. 'Generic DEM' polling means nothing. Elections aren't generic, they're A/B.

Biden is still the strongest candidate against Donald Trump. Newsom polls terribly in the Rust and Sun…

1) I'm tellin' ya, the leftoids' fear is in the air.

2) They lost MN, CO, AZ, and MI's attempts to keep Trump off the ballot.

3) Trials keep getting delayed past the election. I think it's 2/4 don't even start until after the election. An August start for fat Fani won't happen

Michigan is the hardest of the Wisconsin-Michigan-Pennsylvania trio for a Republican/Trump to win. Trump is now +5% in Michigan.

Baris: 'The numbers last night bothered me so much I couldn't sleep. These are BIG shifts--MI, PA, WI. These were four to five to six point shifts. The Rust Belt poll was Biden +2 in 2020, today is Trump +5.'

From 2020 to today:

TRUMP LEADS BATTLEGROUNDS: According to Democracy Corps: 'President Biden trails Donald Trump by 5 points in the battleground states and loses at least another point when we include the independent candidates who get 17 percent of the vote.'

The reality of the situation for Ron DeSantis, is dire.

He's about to go underwater in his own state, a MAGA-Red State that loves Donald Trump.

Also, he's got less than one month to drop out or face a 40-point trouncing in his own state.

P.S. Ohio and Iowa are also MAGA-Red…

Trump dominating Florida:

Trump now at 50% in the FOX Poll and leads for the first time ever in the Quinnipiac Poll.

Just looking at our early Rust Belt Poll results, it's roughly in line with national swings.

Trump +6 with full field

FOX NEWS POLL: Trump Posts Biggest Lead Yet Over DeSantis.

Trump 62% (+3)
DeSantis 14% (+1)
Haley 11% (+1)
Ramaswamy 7% (=)
Christie 3% (=)
Hutchinson 1%

[Change vs October]

Fox Poll (A-) | RVs | November 10-13
google.com/amp/s/www.foxn…

These are the Dem lean pollsters in the cycle so when the GOP lean ones come in next it will be interesting

🇺🇲 2024 GE: For the first time in Quinnipiac poll history, Trump is ahead of Biden.

July:
(D) Biden 49% (+4)
(R) Trump 45%

September:
(D) Biden 47% (+1)
(R) Trump 46%

November:
(R) Trump 48% (+2)
(D) Biden 46%