Stefan Schubert My fav example of this is when companies have layoffs. When they decide to fire older, more expensive workers, people are up in arms complaining about age discrimination. When they use a policy of 'last in first out' which predominantly fires young workers, no one bats an eyelid.

The differences in road deaths among developed countries are striking - more than 5x.

Yes, the word 'ageism' is associated with bias against the old, but in my view the most important type of bias is against the young.

The reason it's not more talked about is that many see it as normatively correct to discriminate against the young.

What will the average person be able to do with 'universal basic compute'?

Seems way more valuable for them to get money than compute.

The best argument against an imminent job apocalypse is a five minute conversation with the average customer service chatbot

When you consider whether to read a book, it's much better to look at the views of people whom you know to have good judgement than average ratings.

In the absence of other info Condorcet's jury theorem can be useful, but we often have other info.

Clearly exaggerated

Yes, and today's society caters too much to that instinct.

Part of this just seems to be something like the OK Cupid algorithm

I liked this post by Lukas Gloor analysing prediction failures about Covid and AI.

It seems at least these two examples display an underestimate of people's reaction to danger, i.e. sleepwalk bias.

I think it's a general issue in the AI risk debate.

lesswrong.com/posts/dLwo67p7…

Unpleasant way to start the day, precisely 84 years ago

Since 2016, US GDP per capita has grown 15%, whereas Canadian GDP per capita hasn't grown at all

It's time for a broader discussion on how we distribute time across our lives. Why concentrate free time at the end of life, rather than give parents more time when they need it most?

I think it feels somewhat unintuitive what medicine can and cannot do.

It can do some things that feel magical, but then it can't fix some things that feel fairly basic, like some post-viral effects or headache issues.

Makes it useful to reflect a bit on medicine's abilities.

. Benjamin Todd has a knack for writing thoughtful overviews of the current state of affairs in complex domains, so I'm glad he's started a new blog with so far three such posts on the AI situation:

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YDjH6ACP…

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/dw8Wxcwc…

forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LJzvCWnw…

Many overrate the harms of paternalism.

There's an oversensitivity - particularly among many libertarians - that doesn't seem well-grounded. Arguably it can be explained by Tetlock's theory of sacred values.