A participant from Comoros serves lunch at our first pan-African cultural event held at Makerere University, Kampala, May 2017.

Photo by Timothy Kalyegira

Something besides and in addition to IQ explains the success of people and societies.

Reducing everything to IQ misses the full picture.

Many people with high IQs often do dumb things or sometimes fail to see things that average minds see so clearly.

So, it's IQ + more.

This “traders strike” may turn out to be the harbinger of a new form of protest in Uganda: where an aggrieved section of society no longer waits for compromised politicians to take up their cause but organises and protests for themselves. The exhibitions now this!

The Tasnim News agency, linked to the elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, reports this morning Iran has sent a “message of warning” to Israel through the Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry.

Shoukry confirmed making phone calls to his Iranian and Israeli counterparts.

'Israeli Chief of Staff General Herzl-Levy was clear: There will be a response to Iran's attack. The security cabinet is scheduled to meet again today to review the plans presented by the army.'

(Radio France, Paris; world news, 0601 GMT, 16 April 2024; translated from French.)

'U.S. officials estimate that Israel will respond to the attack as early as today [1:30 a.m. local time, Tuesday, April 16].'

(Israeli Army Radio, Tel Aviv; news broadcast, 1802 GMT, 8:02p.m. Cairo time, Monday, April 15, 2024; translated from Hebrew.)

'[An] Israeli source [said] Israel is examining altitude options that will not cause casualties, such as hitting a facility in Tehran or a cyberattack.'

(Israeli Army Radio, Tel Aviv; news broadcast, 1801 GMT, Monday, April 15, 2024; translated from Hebrew.)

Lt. Gen. Herzl Halevi, Chief of the General Staff of the Israel Defense Forces, this afternoon visited Nevatim Airbase in the Negev desert.

Presumably, this is where the Air Force fighter jets will set off for Iran -- unless it's a decoy to confuse Iran and use another base.

Reports from Israel in the last few minutes (1714 GMT, 8:14p.m. Nairobi) say the Air Force has been given final instructions for an attack against Iran.

This after the cabinet met again today following yesterday's afternoon session.

There's a need for oral history on how many Kenyans of a certain age benefitted from amazing Ugandan teachers who fled Amin.

Remarkably, that was also Kenya’s golden age of its refugee policy.

What Timothy Kalyegira always says, the British style of administration was better

Stewardesses of Air Arabia while away the monotony with photos as they wait for passengers to board at Entebbe International Airport, Uganda, November 2021.

Photo by Timothy Kalyegira

'Iran is on high alert, fearing Israeli retaliation for last night's attack...[Mehrabad International Airport] in Tehran canceled all inbound and outbound flights until tomorrow [Monday] morning.'

(Israeli Army Radio, Tel Aviv, 1403 GMT, 14 April 2024; translated from Hebrew.)

Updates:
- Iran's Army Commander, Major-General Abdolrahim Mousavi, has said 'If Israel insists on aggressive actions, it will face even heavier and harsher punishment.'

- Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has begun a War Cabinet meeting to discuss a response to Iran's attack.

My forecast
- The price of Brent crude rose by 2.7% yesterday to $92.09 a barrel on fears Iran could soon attack Israel.

Now that it has and Israel is certain to hit back, oil could rise above $100 soon, meaning the IMF will revise downward its global economic growth estimate.

My forecast
- Attacks by Yemen's Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea and Hamas' ability to withstand Israeli strikes have emboldened Iran.

If the Houthis resume attacks in the Red Sea and Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, two-thirds of all global sea freight comes to a halt.

'This testifies to our deterrence, which has gradually waned, reaching dangerous [levels]. And this is true on land, and it is true in the air, and it is also true at sea.'

(An analyst speaking on Israeli Army Radio, Tel Aviv, 0626 GMT, 14 April 2024; translated from Hebrew.)

'Iran's Fars news agency cited a source as saying that Tehran was closely monitoring the actions of Jordan, which could become 'the next target' in case it took any pro-Israeli actions.'

(Haaretz, Tel Aviv, Israel, 14 April 2024)

'...sources said the drones were brought down in the air on the Jordanian side of the Jordan Valley and were heading in the direction of Jerusalem. Others were intercepted close to the Iraqi-Syrian border. They gave no further details.'

(Iran International TV, 14 April 2024)

'Even though some of the devices fired at the Jewish state came from Iran's proxies, including Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, it was a massive attack. 110 ballistic missiles, 36 cruise missiles, and 185 drones.'

(Radio France, Paris, 0502 GMT, 14 April 2024; Bing translation)