Best analysis of the latest Israel-Hezbollah escalation👇👇

.Carnegie Endowment @Yarhimilo Columbia | SIPA Amaney Jamal Princeton School of Public & International Affairs Want to have a productive convo about Israel and Palestine? Listen to one between an Israeli-American and Palestinian-American, deans at two of America's most prestigious universities. youtube.com/watch?v=_6PGzH…

When perhaps the most knowledgeable expert on Jerusalem is this worried, it’s time to worry.

Hot scoop Barak Ravid Logic might dictate sanctions against the Israeli government ministries that support them. But domestic politics dictates something else.axios.com/2024/08/28/us-…

Meshal's call for the resumption of suicide bombings against Israel if turned into policy could doom any hope of a hostage/cease-fire deal and take the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to new level. timesofisrael.com/top-hamas-offi… deal and take th eIsraeli0-Palestinian conflict to new level

.Barak Ravid terrific scoop on fireworks between Netanyahu and Gallant at Israel security cabinent meeting. You can either have the hostages or the Philadelphi corridor. Not both. axios.com/2024/08/30/net…

Those kind of numbers are stunning. But without an organized, determined, and willful opposition they remain just numbers.

Israel has a responsibility to avenge the 1200 dead and prevent Hamas from carrying out another October 7. But also to redeem the living. Time may be an ally for Sinwar and Netanyahu; but a cruel enemy to those hostages that remain alive.

The Administration didn’t intend it but 70 days plus before the election, it needed to make a tough statement on Hamas which indeed plays into Netanyahu’s narrative.

It’s understandable after Hamas execution of 6 hostages, including an American, Administration would put onus where it belongs - on Hamas. With 70 days until the election, little appetite for much pressure on Netanyahu. Biden wants to let angry Israelis do walking and talking.

A terrific scoop. Biden Administration may present a take it or leave it proposal to Israel/Hamas. High probability both sides will say "yes but." And then what? More negotiations. Biden's in a negotiator's cul-de-sac with no quick/easy way out -- played by Sinwar and Netanyahu.

Times have changed. I worked for Baker -- one of the two most consequential SecStates in past half-century. And he was one of a kind.youtube.com/watch?v=ADcALM…

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Great scoop. Consultation or not, the result is likley to be the same -- a yes but from Netanyahu and Sinwar if they're lucky.

Netanyahu has turned the Philadelphi Corridor into the fulcrum of western civilization. Even when Israel controlled it -- say in the period 2000-2005 before Israel's withdrawal from Gaza, there were 15,057 terror attacks carried out in Gaza or launched in Israel from Gaza.

.Carnegie Endowment Join me next Friday, September 13 at 2-245 EDT for what promises to be a great discussion on the threat of political violence in America with the inestimable Mary B. McCord and Eric K. Ward Eric K. Ward (Woke Since 1619) Register here: carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/09…

Fascinating question posed Amy Mackinnon @jackdetsch @foreignpolicy In face of the cosmic difficulties posed by an Israel-Hamas negotiation, public expectations should have been kept cosmically low. foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/05/the…

From the Eagles Long Road Out of Eden. A beautifiul haunting love song. No More Cloudy Days. Miss you Glenn Frey youtube.com/watch?v=o96_R0…

Old Eagles. Frey co-wrote it with Jackson Browne and the words evoke a time long gone. youtube.com/watch?v=AaBw37… i

I've known Bill Burns for almost 50 years. His integrity and honesty are beyond question. And this is the most honest assessment of the state of cease-fire negotiations that has emerged from the Administration.