Aaron David Miller(@aarondmiller2) 's Twitter Profileg
Aaron David Miller done

@aarondmiller2

Senior fellow @CarnegieEndow and host of #CarnegieConnects. Former State Dept. analyst, adviser, negotiator in Republican and Democratic Administrations.

ID:257529281

calendar_today25-02-2011 16:32:05

18,3K Tweets

44,5K Followers

1,2K Following

Aaron David Miller(@aarondmiller2) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Saudi Arabia and Iran have little in common. But right now they both - Saudi on hydrocarbons; and Iran on drones, advisers,missiles for Putin's war in Ukraine - see great advantage cultivating Russia. Make no mistake: sub-text is demonstrating assertiveness/independence from US.

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A channel 13 poll has Netanyahu coalition at 60. But 4 prospective parties in the opposing coalition registered only 4 seats. If they drop below the 3.25% threshold (roughly 4 seats), Israel might be on cusp of most right wing government in its history. haaretz.com/campaign-00000…

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.Barak Ravid reporting Emiratis express concern to Netanyahu over extremists joining his government should he win. If it's a choice between alienating UAE or locking in a coalition to immunize him from trial, Bibi's choice is clear.nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%…

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If you want to know why the long shot Phillies are in World Series, this take it to the bank from the Athletic: 'October...does not reward the best teams. It rewards the teams that play best.'theathletic.com/3726642/2022/1…

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.Carnegie Endowment Please join me October 31 10-11 EDT for what promises to be a fascinating with Robert Malley Special Envoy for Iran Robert Malley on US policy toward Iran's popular uprising and prospects for revival of the Iran nuclear accord. events.ceip.org/carnegieconnec…

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Although still a minority within a miniority of Democratic party, pay attention. If Rs take House, pressure to negotiate an end to Ukraine crisis will grow, especially as prospect of an economic downturn rises and not just among Republicans. washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…

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Fascinating. Rest assured, regardless of Netanyahu's changed tune on Ukraine, if Lapid made a move on defensive weapons to Kyiv before the elections, Netanyahu would be the first to blast him.

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.Carnegie Endowment Join me Monday October 31 10-11 am EDT for what promises to be a great convo with Special Envoy for Iran Robert Malley Robert Malley on protests, nukes and US policy. events.ceip.org/carnegieconnec…

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Terrific piece The Wall Street Journal @StephenKalin They may patch it up; but under MBS things will remain broken. Like most leaders with an exaggerated sense of their own self-importance and power, MBS sees Biden as a speed bump to bigger things.nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%…

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I mean it was 1962. I was 12. Couldn't get this out of my head for months. Jack Kennedy was still alive and the 60s had not yet taken its tragic turn.Thank you Dee Dee Sharp for a song that still transcends time and space. youtube.com/watch?v=HnHBqE…

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Not even Pythia Oracle at Delphi has a clue why Trump took classified. Other than boy, cool stuff, the Iranian missile 411 would allow him to play Big Man on Campus w/2 very interested parties — Saudi and Israel. Who knows what transactions he imagined. nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%…

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Retired ranking US military officers spend their entire careers risking their lives to defend democratic values and end them by pulling in big salaries to support and enable authoritarians. nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%…

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It’s bad enough sitting USG officials over the years have rarely used the leverage they have to protect US interests in Saudi Arabia; that retired US military leaders are making millions while implicitly turning blind eye to MBS’s repression is what my Bubbe would call a shonda.

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With Truss out; Macron down with second term blues; Italy heading rightward who leads Europe during a perilous winter against a diminished but increasingly desperate and dangerous Putin? Biden and I’m thinking Ukraine.

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