InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Conservative Media and News Company
⦿ The resource I'm using for tracking live odds is https://t.co/Thhcw16nBK
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ID:1427476600744988672
17-08-2021 03:47:58
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Rich Baris 'The People's Pundit'
Data journalist and host of 'Inside the Numbers'. Director @BigDataPoll. Opinions are my own. Data don't lie. People do. Love @LauraBaris & my kids.
Robert C. Cahaly
Chief pollster at the @trafalgar_group. #Bulldog lover. @F1 racing enthusiast. Long suffering fan of @GamecockFB, @Dallascowboys, and #WorldChampion @Braves!
PollWatch
Political analysis. Election info. We track pollsters that have proven accuracy.
Realignment Politics
Tracking and analyzing political polls and current events and always giving my honest, heartfelt opinions. #UltraMAGA! 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇺🇦 And FIRED UP for Nov. 8th!!!
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For 🇺🇸America First🇺🇸, National Populist polices, the MAGA movement, predict U.S elections, and a Lutheran Christian✝️ #DixonHernandez
📊 RHODE ISLAND GE: Salve Regina University
🟦 Biden: 40%
🟥 Trump: 33%
🟨 RFK Jr: 12%
—
RI-1
🟦 Gabe Amo (inc): 50%
🟥 Allen Waters (R): 29%
---
RI-2
🟦 Seth Magaziner (inc): 47%
🟥 Steve Corvi: 33%
—
Senate
🟦 Sheldon Whitehouse (inc): 48%
🟥 'Republican candidate': 34%
—
Job approval
📊 PA-1 POLL: Ashley Ehasz (D) internal
🟥*Brian Fitzpatrick: 47%
🟦 Ashley Ehasz: 45%
⬜ Undecided: 8%
Upswing Research | 6/12-16 | 400 LV | ±4.9%
politico.com/newsletters/in…
📊 WA-3 POLL: Northwest Progressive Institute (D)
🟥 Joe Kent: 46%
🟦*Marie G. Perez: 45%
⬜ Undecided: 9%
—
President
🟥 Donald Trump: 50%
🟦 Joe Biden: 45%
⬜ Undecided: 5%
—
PublicPolicyPolling | 649 LV | 6/11-12 | ±3.9%
nwprogressive.org/weblog/2024/06…
📊 Utah Republican Primary (with leaners)
Senate
• John Curtis: 48% (+20)
• Trent Staggs: 28%
• Brad Wilson: 9%
• Jason Walton: 6%
—
Governor
• Spencer Cox: 55% (+13)
• Phil Lyman: 42%
—
Noble Predictive Insights | 6/20-21 | 432 LV | ±4.7%
noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/utah-poll…
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Morning Consult
🟦 Biden: 44% [=]
🟥 Trump: 44% [+1]
🟪 Other: 8%
—
• June 9: Biden +1
• June 16: Biden +1
• June 23: Tie
[+/- change vs June 16]
—
#116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,159 RV | June 21-23
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…
![🇺🇲 2024 GE: @MorningConsult 🟦 Biden: 44% [=] 🟥 Trump: 44% [+1] 🟪 Other: 8% — • June 9: Biden +1 • June 16: Biden +1 • June 23: Tie [+/- change vs June 16] — #116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,159 RV | June 21-23 pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GQ2zddrWAAA_una.png "InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) on Twitter photo 2024-06-24 17:46:04 🇺🇲 2024 GE: @MorningConsult 🟦 Biden: 44% [=] 🟥 Trump: 44% [+1] 🟪 Other: 8% — • June 9: Biden +1 • June 16: Biden +1 • June 23: Tie [+/- change vs June 16] — #116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,159 RV | June 21-23 pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…")
.Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner
🟥 Trump: 58% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 34%
🟦 M. Obama: 2%
🟨 RFK Jr: 1%
polymarket.com/elections
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Presidential Election Forecast
1. The Economist (Electoral College)
🟥 Trump: 302 🏆
🟦 Biden: 236
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 70%
🟦 Biden: 30%
——
2. Jack Kersting Forecast (Electoral College)
🟥 Trump: 287 🏆
🟦 Biden: 251
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 62%
🟦
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Redfield & Wilton Strategies
🟦 Biden: 41% [=]
🟥 Trump: 41% [+1]
🟨 RFK Jr: 7% [=]
⬜ Undecided: 8%
[+/- change vs June 12]
——
President Biden: approve/disapprove
• May 1: 36-46 (-10)
• June 12: 38-44 (-6)
• JUNE 17: 41-43 (-2)
The joint-highest rating President Biden has
![🇺🇲 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton 🟦 Biden: 41% [=] 🟥 Trump: 41% [+1] 🟨 RFK Jr: 7% [=] ⬜ Undecided: 8% [+/- change vs June 12] —— President Biden: approve/disapprove • May 1: 36-46 (-10) • June 12: 38-44 (-6) • JUNE 17: 41-43 (-2) The joint-highest rating President Biden has](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GQ18kugW0AAZVaf.jpg "InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) on Twitter photo 2024-06-24 13:46:19 🇺🇲 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton 🟦 Biden: 41% [=] 🟥 Trump: 41% [+1] 🟨 RFK Jr: 7% [=] ⬜ Undecided: 8% [+/- change vs June 12] —— President Biden: approve/disapprove • May 1: 36-46 (-10) • June 12: 38-44 (-6) • JUNE 17: 41-43 (-2) The joint-highest rating President Biden has")
📊 MARYLAND GE: PublicPolicyPolling
Senate
🟦 Alsobrooks: 45%
🟥 Hogan: 34%
🟪 Scott: 3%
🟨 Osuchukwu: 1%
🟩 Wallace: 1%
⬜ Undecided: 16%
.
H2H
🟦 Alsobrooks: 48%
🟥 Hogan: 40%
⬜ Undecided: 12%
—
President
🟦 Biden: 56%
🟥 Trump: 30%
⬜ Undecided: 14%
—
Fav/unfav
• Gov. Moore: 50-22
.Polymarket - Presidential Election Odds
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 78%
🟦 Biden: 22%
.
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 69%
🟦 Biden: 31%
.
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 67%
🟦 Biden: 33%
.
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 61%
🟦 Biden: 39%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Biden: 51%
🟥 Trump: 49%
.
WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden: 51%
![🇺🇲 2024 GE: CBS News/YouGov 🟥 Trump: 50% [=] 🟦 Biden: 49% [=] [+/- change vs June 5-7] — Crosstabs • Age 18-29: Biden 61-38% • Age 30-44: Trump 50-49% • Age 45-64: Trump 53-47% • Age 65+: Trump 55-45% • Independents: Biden 50-49% • White: Trump 57-43% • Black: Biden](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GQxH24sXIAE7VEV.jpg "InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) on Twitter photo 2024-06-23 15:17:29 🇺🇲 2024 GE: CBS News/YouGov 🟥 Trump: 50% [=] 🟦 Biden: 49% [=] [+/- change vs June 5-7] — Crosstabs • Age 18-29: Biden 61-38% • Age 30-44: Trump 50-49% • Age 45-64: Trump 53-47% • Age 65+: Trump 55-45% • Independents: Biden 50-49% • White: Trump 57-43% • Black: Biden")
.Polymarket - Republican Vice Presidential Odds (shift since June 9)
• Doug Burgum: 33% (+17)
• J.D. Vance: 14% (=)
• Byron Donalds: 14% (+12)
• Ben Carson: 12% (+5)
• Marco Rubio: 8% (-4)
• Sarah H. Sanders: 8% (+3)
• Tim Scott: 5% (-19)
Who do YOU think should be
.Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner
🟥 Trump: 57.5% (new high)
🟦 Biden: 34.5%
🟦 M. Obama: 3.1%
🟨 RFK Jr: 1.3%
polymarket.com/elections
🇺🇲 Electoral College Forecast (6/21)
The Economist
🟥 Trump: 300 🏆
🟦 Biden: 238
—
Decision Desk HQ
🟥 Trump: 282 🏆
🟦 Biden: 256
—
FiveThirtyEight
🟦 Biden: 270 🏆
🟥 Trump: 268
—
.Decision Desk HQ Presidential Forecast
Electoral College
🟥 Trump 282
🟦 Biden 256
——
Chance of Winning
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 57%
🟦 Biden: 43%
--
PA DDHQ polling avg.
• Head-to-head: Trump +2.0%
• Full field: Trump +1.3%
——
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 58%
🟦 Biden: 42%
---
WI
📊 Arizona Senate GE: North Star Opinion
🟦 Gallego: 39%
🟥 Lake: 38%
🟩 Quintana: 9%
⬜ Undecided: 13%
• #228 (1.2/3.0) | American Greatness
• R35/D30/I35 | 6/17-20 | 600 LV | ±4%
📊 ARIZONA GE: North Star Opinion
🟥 Trump: 48% (+6)
🟦 Biden: 42%
---
🟥 Trump: 42% (+10)
🟦 Biden: 32%
🟨 RFK Jr: 13%
🟩 Stein: 3%
🟪 Oliver: 2%
—
• #228 (1.2/3.0) | American Greatness
• R35/D30/I35 | 6/17-20 | 600 LV | ±4%
amgreatness.com/2024/06/21/new…
