Liam Donovan
@LPDonovan
Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TheLobbyShopPod
ID:48012011
http://lpdonovan.substack.com/ 17-06-2009 16:15:19
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Incumbency advantage has eroded - it sits at about 2 to 3 points which I wrote here in early 2018: centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
And 538 after the election with the same numbers: fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-m…
Win rate is higher because they now sit in more polarized seats than before
.Rep. Bill Johnson isn't saying yes yet, but also isn't ruling out the Youngstown State University job in a new statement.