$DJT vs election chance derived from betting market odds

Most reliable broker to sell my FTX claim?

Good one with one of the OGs

Best ROI
1. Sell a course
2. Membership site
3. Substack
4. Launch ETF
5. Affiliate marketing
6. Podcasts, YouTube
7. Freelance, consulting
8. Self-publish book
...
20. SPY
...
98. Trade your strategy
99. Put money where your mouth is

Should bonds even be in the global market portfolio?

Lessons from chart. Don't treat the unlikely as impossible. Avoid home country bias. Diversification of unique risks is important.

Holding the one largest US stock over the past 25 years. Underwater until 2016 but then with $AAPL and $MSFT the gap to the SPY narrowed.

Anyone know a good data source for historical betting quotes / implied probabilities for US elections? #predictionmarkets

AND WHAT THE FUCK HAPPENED AFTER 1999

There are not only #seasonality effects in #equity returns, but also in #equity factors. Let’s have a look at the seasonality for the size factor in #Europe .
👉 #SmallCaps are strong on Fridays.
👉 The returns to small companies are also strong around month-ends.
#fintwit

Mutual funds : You can't make money with ETFs
ETF : Hold my beer 🍺
$TQQQ $SMH $IYW $XLC $XLK $QQQM $QQQ $VGT

Lyn Alden There are some but $NVDA the most remarkable given today's size.

I find 750 stocks that recovered from two -75% DD's, 47 stocks that done so three times, and 3 that done so four times.

(Data: US traded stocks since 1998)