1/8 We Crisis Group have finally released our report about one of Asia’s longest-running armed conflicts
crisisgroup.org/asia/south-eas…

THREAD

Chad is also threatening to ask the US to withdraw its troops...

Israel's attack on Iran has been confirmed now by US intelligence & Israeli sources: looking like a limited missile attack in the middle of the night with minimal damage in Isfahan. Iranian media significantly downplaying the attack & claiming that it didn't make impact with the

A western friendly senior Global South diplomat just told me re Biden's Palestine veto:

'Whatever agonizing claim the US had to lead a self-appointed free world has died a very loud public death on the Security Council horseshoe tonight. YOU CAN’T LEAD IF YOU CAN’T LISTEN.'

In less than one hour, Biden will veto a resolution at the UN Security Council to recognize Palestine and grant it full membership in the UN. Here are some thoughts on what this means.

The United Nations General Assembly already voted to recognize Palestine in 2012. 138 states

China's assertiveness in the #SouthChinaSea was the main topic of last week’s US-Japan-Philippines summit.

Beijing's response: block 2 Philippine ships.

ICYMI Quincy Institute Sarang Shidore previously joined None Of The Above Podcast to discuss South #China Sea tensions.

noneoftheabovepodcast.org/episodes/s4ep19

The United States should seek negotiations to end Russia's war in Ukraine now — before it is too late.

Read QI's George Beebe and Anatol Lieven in Harper's Magazine: harpers.org/archive/2024/0…

Can there be any justification for governments attacking #embassies ? Isn't this breaking the basic rules of diplomatic engagement ? My take on the CBC News . Pardee School of Global Studies, Boston University BU Pardee Center Adil Najam  Sarang Shidore #Diplomacy #Ecuador #Syria
cbc.ca/player/play/1.…

Something that was missed in all the chaos last night: this was the first time that American troops engaged in direct combat protecting Israel’s borders. Did Americans ever really sign up for that?
reason.com/2024/04/14/bid…

But Iran is supposed to accept Israel killing its generals when they're in a diplomatic compound as the new normal? (Miller was an Israel-Palestine negotiator for the US. A chronic inability to see things from the POV of both sides is one reason our negotiators never succeeded.)

Read this piece on why Bibi chose to radically escalate with his April 1 strike on Iran's diplomatic compound. It's by Paul Pillar, who knows the territory--he was once in charge of analysis of the Middle East for CIA & all other US intelligence agencies. responsiblestatecraft.org/iran-israel-wa…

The drones & Cruise missiles heading for Israel are only the 1st wave... I expect there will be more until the morning. Interesting fact is Iran generally prefers surprise attacks but the US seemed to know about them ahead of time.

To me this isn't a case of US intelligence

You didn't need a crystal ball to know last fall that Israel's military response to 7 October would result in mass death, a humanitarian catastrophe, and destabilize the region.

Hence early calls for a ceasefire.

There was another way.

ICYMI: With shrunken political capital and legitimacy, it seems clear that Yoon is now in a more difficult place to exercise the kind of personal influence he has had on South Korea’s foreign policy thus far, writes James Park

responsiblestatecraft.org/south-korean-p…

Happy to announce that I've been named Inaugural Distinguished Chair in Russia and Eurasia Policy RAND. I appreciate the vote of confidence and look forward to continuing RAND's long tradition of important work on the region.