'The U.S. is withdrawing its Abrams main tanks from Ukrainian battlefields after the platforms proved unable to deal with the threat of Russian drones' newsweek.com/american-abram…

Honored to discuss contemporary security issues Pritzker Military Museum & Library with great thinkers like Geoffrey Till, Paul Poast, and Emma Ashford (@emmamashford.bsky.social) tomorrow in Chicago. I am speaking in the afternoon. It looks to be a fascinating dialogue.

ROK Defense Minister Shin: “It is inappropriate to ask a question that presumes USFK will be moved out even if there is a clash surrounding Taiwan. By asking such a question, we might send the wrong signal to the US ... it is an excessive hypothetical. We must firmly say ‘No.’”

🇺🇸 🇺🇦 Speaking CSIS, Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment LaPlante indicates the Boeing-Saab produced Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb has proven largely ineffective in Ukraine.

He cites numerous issues including ineffective TTPs and Russian GPS denial.

Important story. And not voluntary from US allies or else they would have done it already by themselves. In a keynote speech in Ottawa in late 2022, I laid out why the US would eventually coerce compliance from reluctant partners and allies: youtube.com/watch?v=wz_8N3…

The best path forward is for every party involved in this conflict to treat this aid package as though it is the last, Carnegie Endowment's Jennifer Kavanagh advises. youtube.com/watch?v=7yD_44…

Just wrapped a thoughtful and timely @DefPriorities livestream featuring some good back-and-forth on #Russia and #Ukraine w/ Kelly Grieco Jennifer Kavanagh Daniel Davis Deep Dive and myself.

Watch the replay here: youtube.com/watch?v=7yD_44…

Can U.S. military aid to Ukraine turn the tide?

Tomorrow, April 24 at 1 PM ET, Defense Priorities will host a live discussion on this crucial topic featuring experts DEFP Senior Fellow Daniel Davis Deep Dive, Jennifer Kavanagh of Carnegie Endowment, Stimson Center's Kelly Grieco, and moderated by…

🇷🇺🇨🇳 Russia and China have almost completely stopped using the dollar in their mutual trade, according to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. More than 90% of settlements are carried out in the two countries’ national currencies. Bloomberg

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Maritime Chokepoint status:

Panama 🟨
Gibraltar ✅️
Cape of Good Hope🟨
Baltic🟨
Turkish Strait🚨
Suez🚨
Hormuz🚨
Bab el-Mandeb🚨
Malacca🟨

Chokepoints Status🟨

The level of absolutism + vitriol is way too high on far too many natsec issues these days--at precisely the time we need more nuance, pragmatism, and humility. This is a thoroughly unfair attack on a moderate + balanced piece trying to get at historical facts

A first: Coast Guard struggling with recruitment…

“Recruiting had never been an issue for the Coast Guard, Vice Adm. Paul Thomas, deputy commandant for mission support, said at separate Sea Air Space panel. People would come to the service, and they met the necessary numbers…

For TWQ, Kelly Grieco & I explain why Asia's geography is interfering w/ Biden's coalition building in the region--and why this will be hard to overcome.

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

All men.

Prime Minister Kishida’s Talks with Japanese Business Representatives mofa.go.jp/na/na2/us/page…

LIVE | TOMORROW

China as a Hegemonic Challenge?

Join our conversation with Derek J. Grossman, Jennifer Kavanagh, and Steven Kosiak, moderated by Michael D. Swaine. quincyinst.org/events/china-a…

Our latest Carnegie Endowment #IndiaElects2024 essay: Caroline Mallory + I document how foreign policy has moved from an elite concern to a mass issue in India. We examine the causes + consequences of this shift. carnegieendowment.org/2024/04/12/in-…

At Biden and Kishida's press conference today, they announced plans to modernize allied command and control. 🙌

Jennifer Kavanagh and I discuss next steps in Foreign Policy, including why the best option would be turning US Forces Japan (USFJ) into a joint operational command.

'Even if Europeans decide to remain on the sidelines, U.S. involvement in a war over Taiwan will leave behind a considerable power vacuum in Europe and create conventional deterrence gaps,' write @PaulvanHooft and Tim Sweijs. ow.ly/YOSM30sBsxu

1: Sorry, but Emanuel is really very naive about the region he is currently working in if he actually believes this is the end of the story. For one, the region is fragmented in many ways. It is not in Cold War-like bipolarity. carnegieendowment.org/2020/09/09/asi…

Many U.S. officials believe this, not recognizing that the Philippines is an outlier in Southeast Asia. In fact, the rest of the region is hedging, and tends to be quite critical of the path that Manila has chosen. The U.S. is losing the narrative battle in most of the region.