Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) 's Twitter Profile
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb

Flaneur: probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (real life),Phoenician wine, deadlifts & dead languages. Greco-Levantine.Canaan. #RWRI

ID: 381289719

linkhttps://www.amazon.com/Statistical-Consequences-Fat-Tails-Preasymptotics/dp/B0CD8X5YC5/ref=sr_1_1?ke calendar_today28-09-2011 02:19:07

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) 's Twitter Profile Photo
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb

8 months ago

If someone told you only a few weeks ago that Iran would be at war, you would have guessed Israel, the US, or perhaps Saudi Arabia; not Pakistan. It is very, very hard to keep in mind that we're not good at predicting & even harder to incorporate it into a general policy.