Felipe Montealegre (IFS) (@theiaresearch) 's Twitter Profile
Felipe Montealegre (IFS)

@theiaresearch

Investment team at Theia // Posting about the Internet Financial System (IFS)

ID: 1511793131884318720

linkhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/felipe-montealegre-020a3b8a/ calendar_today06-04-2022 19:49:11

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Felipe Montealegre (IFS) (@theiaresearch) 's Twitter Profile Photo
Felipe Montealegre (IFS)
@theiaresearch

21 days ago

.Polymarket has led polls and prediction models on large moves (e.g. Biden's resignation) but lagged these same polls and models on smaller probability updates (e.g. recent favorable polling for Trump has increased his probability to +10 on Silver's model). We expect this trend

.<a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> has led polls and prediction models on large moves (e.g. Biden's resignation) but lagged these same polls and models on smaller probability updates (e.g. recent favorable polling for Trump has increased his probability to +10 on Silver's model). We expect this trend