InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
๐ณ๏ธ Polling and Prediction Markets Aggregator
๐ Live, unbiased 2024 election forecasts: https://t.co/rDzcdHFUG2
ID:1427476600744988672
17-08-2021 03:47:58
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Rich Baris 'The People's Pundit'
Data journalist and host of 'Inside the Numbers'. Director @BigDataPoll. Opinions are my own. Data don't lie. People do. Love @LauraBaris & my kids.
Robert C. Cahaly
Chief pollster at the @trafalgar_group. #Bulldog lover. @F1 racing enthusiast. Long suffering fan of @GamecockFB, @Dallascowboys, and #WorldChampion @Braves!
PollWatch
Political analysis. Election info. We track pollsters that have proven accuracy.
Realignment Politics
Tracking and analyzing political polls and current events and always giving my honest, heartfelt opinions. #UltraMAGA! ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ And FIRED UP for Nov. 8th!!!
Red Lion Politics
For ๐บ๐ธAmerica First๐บ๐ธ, National Populist polices, the MAGA movement, predict U.S elections, and a Lutheran Christianโ๏ธ #DixonHernandez
๐บ๐ฒ SWING STATES: CBS News Poll
PENNSYLVANIA
๐ฅ Trump 50%
๐ฆ Biden 49%
.
WISCONSIN
๐ฅ Trump 50%
๐ฆ Biden 49%
.
MICHIGAN
๐ฆ Biden 51%
๐ฅ Trump 49%
YouGov: #4 (2.9/3.0) | LVs | 4/19-25
cbsnews.com/news/biden-truโฆ
๐ Pennsylvania GE: CBS News Poll
๐ฅ Trump 50%
๐ฆ Biden 49%
YouGov: #4 (2.9/3.0) | LVs | 4/19-23
๐บ๐ฒ 2024 GE: RCP POLLING AVERAGE
WISCONSIN
๐ฅ Trump 49% (+2)
๐ฆ Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
๐ฅ Trump 49.3% (+5)
๐ฆ Biden 44.3%
.
MICHIGAN
๐ฅ Trump 47.4% (+3)
๐ฆ Biden 44.4%
.
NEVADA
๐ฅ Trump 48.8% (+4.8)
๐ฆ Biden 44%
.
GEORGIA
๐ฅ Trump 49.7% (+4)
๐ฆ Biden 45.7%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
๐ฅโฆ
.Polymarket - Trump VP odds (4/26)
โข Tim Scott: 22%
โข Elise Stefanik: 10%
โข J.D. Vance: 6%
โข Nikki Haley: 6%
โข Ben Carson: 5%
โข Kristi Noem: 5% (-5 from yesterday)
โข V. Ramaswamy: 3%
---
Other woman 12% (Tulsi Gabbard?)
Other man 11%
Who do YOU think should be Trump'sโฆ
.Polymarket - Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?
๐ฅ Republicans 71% (+42)
๐ฆ Democrats 29%
polymarket.com/elections
![GALLUP: President Biden Job Approval Approve 38% [-2] Disapprove 58% [+3] [+/- change vs March] โโ Job Approval Average (13th - Quarter) 1. Eisenhower: 73.2% 2. Reagan: 54.5% 3. Nixon: 53.7% 4. Clinton: 53% 5. G.W. Bush: 51% 6. Carter: 47.7% 7. Trump: 46.8% 8. Obama: 45.9% 9.โฆ](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GMGVDtIXAAEbTPx.jpg "InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) on Twitter photo 2024-04-26 14:49:34 GALLUP: President Biden Job Approval Approve 38% [-2] Disapprove 58% [+3] [+/- change vs March] โโ Job Approval Average (13th - Quarter) 1. Eisenhower: 73.2% 2. Reagan: 54.5% 3. Nixon: 53.7% 4. Clinton: 53% 5. G.W. Bush: 51% 6. Carter: 47.7% 7. Trump: 46.8% 8. Obama: 45.9% 9.โฆ")
๐บ๐ฒ 2024 GE: Kaplan Strategies (#82)
ARIZONA
๐ฅ Trump 47%
๐ฆ Biden 43%
.
MICHIGAN
๐ฅ Trump 51%
๐ฆ Biden 36%
PENNSYLVANIA
๐ฅ Trump 46%
๐ฆ Biden 41%
.
WISCONSIN
๐ฅ Trump 48%
๐ฆ Biden 38%
2.0/3.0 | Doug Kaplan | 3,282 RV | 4/20-21
kaplanstrategies.com/2024/04/26/145โฆ
NEW: FiveThirtyEight polling average
GEORGIA
๐ฅ Trump 45.3% (+5.9)
๐ฆ Biden 39.4%
๐จ RFK Jr 7.3%
โ
NEVADA
๐ฅ Trump 43% (+5.7)
๐ฆ Biden 37.3%
๐จ RFK Jr 10.7%
โ
NORTH CAROLINA
๐ฅ Trump 44.9% (+5.2)
๐ฆ Biden 39.7%
๐จ RFK Jr 8%
โ
ARIZONA
๐ฅ Trump 43.2% (+4.3)
๐ฆ Biden 38.9%
๐จโฆ
๐บ๐ฒ NATIONAL POLL: PORL
๐ฅ Trump 47% (+2)
๐ฆ Biden 45%
๐ช Other 4%
โ
โข Biden 2020 voters: Biden 88-6%
โข Trump 2020 voters: Trump 93-2%
โข Double haters: Biden 43-30%
โข Independents: Trump 46-39%
โข White: Trump 52-42%
โข Black: Biden 77-13%
โข Hispanic: Trump 48-41%
โขโฆ
๐ Stack Data Strategy MRP Model H2H (with RFK Jr + other candidates)
โข Nevada: Biden +3.8 (Biden +4.6)
โข Michigan: Biden +1.45 (Biden +2)
โข Arizona: Biden +0.3 (Biden +1.4)
โข Michigan: Biden +1.45 (Biden +2)
โข Wisconsin: Biden +0.2 (Biden +1.6)
โข Pennsylvania: Biden +0.06 (Bidenโฆ
๐ Stack Data Strategy MRP Model (n=7,793 RV)
Popular vote
๐ฆ Biden 49.6% (+2.7)
๐ฅ Trump 46.9%
---
๐ฆ Biden 46.77% (+2.73)
๐ฅ Trump 44.04%
๐จ RFK Jr 6.5%
โ
EC Forecast (Oct-Nov. 2023)
๐ฅ Trump 292
๐ฆ Biden 246
April 2024
๐ฆ Biden 287
๐ฅ Trump 251
โโ
MICHIGAN
๐ฆ Biden 48.87% (+1.45)โฆ
.Polymarket - SWING STATES ODDS (4/24)
NORTH CAROLINA
๐ฅ Trump 72%
๐ฆ Biden 28%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
๐ฆ Biden 63%
๐ฅ Trump 37%
.
NEVADA
๐ฆ Biden 61%
๐ฅ Trump 39%
.
GEORGIA
๐ฅ Trump 59%
๐ฆ Biden 41%
.
MICHIGAN
๐ฆ Biden 57%
๐ฅ Trump 43%
.
WISCONSIN
๐ฆ Biden 53%
๐ฅ Trump 47%
.โฆ
๐บ๐ฒ NATIONAL POLL: Pew Research Center
๐ฅ Trump 49%
๐ฆ Biden 48%
โ
Biden
๐ข Approve 35%
๐ด Disapprove 62%
โ
Crosstabs
โข White: Trump 56-42%
โข Black: Biden 77-18%
โข Hispanic: Biden 52-44%
โข Asian: Biden 59-36%
โข Ages 18-29: Biden 59-38%
โข Ages 65+: Trump 52-45%
โข Post grad:โฆ
๐บ๐ฒ SWING STATES GE: MC/Bloomberg
NORTH CAROLINA
๐ฅ Trump 51% (+10)
๐ฆ Biden 41%
---
๐ฅ Trump 48% (+10)
๐ฆ Biden 38%
๐จ RFK Jr 5%
๐ช Other 2%
โ
Generic Ballot
๐ฅ GOP 47% (+5)
๐ฆ DEM 42%
โโ
NEVADA
๐ฅ Trump 51% (+8)
๐ฆ Biden 43%
---
๐ฅ Trump 48% (+14)
๐ฆ Biden 34%
๐จ RFK Jr 7%โฆ
๐บ๐ฒ NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac
๐ฆ Biden 46% [-2]
๐ฅ Trump 46% [+1]
โข January: Biden +6
โข February: Biden +4
โข March: Biden +3
โข April: TIE
โ
๐ฆ Biden 37% [-1]
๐ฅ Trump 37% [-2]
๐จ RFK Jr 16% [+3]
๐ฉ Stein 4% [-1]
๐จ West 3% [=]
โ
Biden
๐ข Approve 35% [-2]
๐ด Disapprove 61%โฆ
![๐บ๐ฒ NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac ๐ฆ Biden 46% [-2] ๐ฅ Trump 46% [+1] โข January: Biden +6 โข February: Biden +4 โข March: Biden +3 โข April: TIE โ ๐ฆ Biden 37% [-1] ๐ฅ Trump 37% [-2] ๐จ RFK Jr 16% [+3] ๐ฉ Stein 4% [-1] ๐จ West 3% [=] โ Biden ๐ข Approve 35% [-2] ๐ด Disapprove 61%โฆ](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GL8vNXAWoAEjLBL.jpg "InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) on Twitter photo 2024-04-24 18:06:51 ๐บ๐ฒ NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac ๐ฆ Biden 46% [-2] ๐ฅ Trump 46% [+1] โข January: Biden +6 โข February: Biden +4 โข March: Biden +3 โข April: TIE โ ๐ฆ Biden 37% [-1] ๐ฅ Trump 37% [-2] ๐จ RFK Jr 16% [+3] ๐ฉ Stein 4% [-1] ๐จ West 3% [=] โ Biden ๐ข Approve 35% [-2] ๐ด Disapprove 61%โฆ")