Asset allocation poll! Which asset class combination fits you best?

You must work with the incoming data that come in. While the poor German Manufacturing #PMI of 38.8 points to negative #GDP growth in the coming months, the factory orders showed resilience.

The latest Fed Lending Survey results in one clear investment conclusion. High Yield Spreads are WAY too low if the very strong relationship between tighter lending standards and #defaults materializes once again.
true-insights.net

Here's another 'interesting' chart on the US fiscal outlook. Under its 'Higher Interest Rates' scenario, the Congressional Budget Office expects the US #debt -to- #GDP ratio to be approximately 230%!
Debt sustainability will be a major issue in the coming decades, and #centralbanks …

What will be the 'biggest solution' to bring down elevated global #debt -to- #GDP levels?

Will #China be the trigger that kills the current equity market rally?
- Between 2015-2016, we had the 'China Growth Scare,' which forced Chinese authorities to devaluate the Chinese #Yuan ( #CNY ), causing a stock market crash.
- Today, several macro indicators look worse than…

We look at the direction of the ISM Manufacturing Index and what that means for #equities and #bonds .

trueinsights.substack.com/p/expect-the-i…

Start your week in financial markets with last week's biggest stories. The only thing you have to do is listen as Anna AI updates you on major market-driving developments of the past week.
trueinsights.substack.com/p/the-weekly-m…
Here's the storyline:
(01:11): 'ECB Faces Deteriorating Economic…

The Weekly Market Monitor Podcast is an AI-based summary of last week's biggest stories in financial markets. Anna AI takes you through the biggest developments in Macro, Sentiment, and Valuation using our recent research publications as input.
trueinsights.substack.com/p/the-weekly-m…

This is a mind-blowing chart from the ECB Lending Survey. The Eurozone is heading for a #recession !
This and much more in The Weekly Market Monitor.
trueinsights.substack.com/p/the-weekly-m…

Can you guess what our latest Trade Idea is?
Join us, and let's invest together!
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Substack: trueinsights.substack.com/p/central-bank…

Below is one of the key charts in this week's Weekly Market Monitor showing the massive decline in Eurozone loan demand. In a #debt -driven growth model, this will have major implications for #GDPgrowth . With loan demand as depressed as during the Great Financial Crisis, a big…

Can you guess what our latest Trade Idea is?
Join us, and let's invest together!
true-insights.net
Substack: trueinsights.substack.com/p/central-bank…

Has the Services #PMI overtaken the Manufacturing PMI regarding equity market #returns ?
We did a straightforward analysis, and the answer must be 'no.'
They are sending the same signal, however.
Read our latest insight here:
trueinsights.substack.com/p/focusing-on-…

UPDATE! We have adjusted the weights of #equities and #Treasuries in our multi-asset #portolios !
trueinsights.substack.com/p/change-in-po…

#FOMC post ready!
trueinsights.substack.com/p/powell-is-do…

Hence, #FederalReserve hopium will cease being a key market driver.

Our latest Insight is out.
true-insights.net/one-or-two-mor…
for a big intro:
trueinsights.substack.com/p/one-or-two-m…

Has the Services #PMI overtaken the Manufacturing PMI regarding equity market #returns ?
We did a straightforward analysis, and the answer must be 'no.'
They are sending the same signal, however.
Read our latest insight here:
trueinsights.substack.com/p/focusing-on-…

Our latest research on the Truck Tonnage Index, yup, it exists, is a classic example of how we look for MACRO indicators that actually say something about future #returns and the attractiveness of asset classes.